Organization Reports


2020 Organization Report: San Diego Padres

by Alec Dopp

Organization Grades

Hitting: A ... Pitching: A- ... Top-end Talent: A ... Depth: A ... Overall: A

Minor League Affiliates

Triple-A: El Paso (Pacific Coast League)
Double-A: San Antonio (Texas League)
High-A: Lake Elsinore (California League)
Low-A: Fort Wayne (Midwest League)
Short-season: Tri-City (Northwest League)
Rookie: AZL Padres (Arizona League)

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1. MacKenzie Gore (LHP) ... 6-3, 180 ... 21 ... 2017 (1) HS (NC)
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)60.24.451.3002.711.04.1.251
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)
2019Amarillo (Tex)
Comments: Athletic, polished LH who has moved quickly and profiles as top-of-the-rotation linchpin. Produces quality ratios with four plus pitches and advanced command and pitchability. FB sits 92-95 mph with angle to plate and he snaps off hammer CB and fading CU when needed; also has quality SL. Quite possibly the best arm in the minors right now.

Development Path: Gore could start 2020 back in AA, or he could break spring camp with the rotation given the way the Padres appear to be in "win now" mode. He still has to iron out a better feel for his slider and could stand to pitch deeper into games.

Fantasy Impact: The upside here is a front-of-the-rotation starter with plus Dom ability for an extended period, and it only helps that he projects to perform in a pitcher-friendly environment in the future. Owners in 2020 redraft leagues should start potentially buying shares around the All-Star break.

Upside Grade: 9B

2. CJ Abrams (SS) ... 6-2, 185 ... L/R ... 19 ... 2019 (1) HS (GA)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2019Azl Padres (Ariz)142.401/.442/.6627900.713/14
2019Fort Wayne (Midw)8.250/.333/.3751110000/1
Comments: Wiry-strong athlete with an elite run tool and up-the-middle defensive utility. Hands explode to the ball and he displays plus contact skills, with an ability to backspin the ball to gaps. Will be able to add strength to lower half and with added loft could produce average power. Solid range with a plus arm, he should be able to stick at SS.

Development Path: Abrams demolished his short-season AZL competition and will be in line to show what he can do in the MWL in 2020. Though he projects to stick at shortstop, his biggest developmental challenge will be finding a permanent defensive home. He is still about three years away from making his debut.

Fantasy Impact: It is easy to dream on Abrams’ tools and see a future SB stud and .290+ BA type hitter atop a major league order. He should have positional flexibility as a SS/2B/CF if he doesn’t find a “permanent” defensive home, a development that will only increase his value in dynasty formats.

Upside Grade: 9D

3. Luis Patino (RHP) ... 6-0, 150 ... 20 ... 2017 FA (CB)
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)40.02.481.2003.
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)87.02.691.0903.511.73.3.189
2019Amarillo (Tex)
Comments: Shorter, live-armed RH who was youngest pitcher to reach AA in 2019. Lives in mid-90s with explosive FB that will touch 98 mph in short stints. Shows nice feel for hard SL and will flash plus CB. Will need to make gains with CU, but has athleticism and makeup to do so. Bulldog mentality on mound; Dom continues to tick upward as he advances.

Development Path: After a late-season bump to AA in 2019, Patino will start 2020 back in the Texas League, looking to improve his overall command and refine the feel for his change-up. If not 2020, he should be in line to make his debut at some point in 2021.

Fantasy Impact: Patino projects to be a #2/3 SP with above-average Dom skills. The lack of a super projectable frame may be the only downside in the profile, but even if he needs to flip to the bullpen, he has exciting closer potential, as we saw in the Futures Game in Cleveland.

Upside Grade: 9D

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4. Taylor Trammell (OF) ... 6-2, 194 ... L/L ... 22 ... 2016 (1) HS (GA)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Billings (Pio)228.303/.374/.4219750.402/24
2017Dayton (Midw)491.281/.368/.45013750.5813/41
2018Daytona (FSL)397.277/.375/.40613740.558/25
2019Amarillo (Tex)118.229/.316/.38110690.364/3
2019Chattanooga (Sou)318.236/.349/.33615730.636/17
Comments: Athletic, tooled-up OF who fits top-of-the-order prototype. Best skill is plus-plus speed, which pairs nicely with his ability to work counts and draw walks. Swing is short, compact and geared toward spraying liners to the gaps. Lacks ideal leverage in swing for power, but should be 10-15 HR type. May move off CF to LF due to lack of arm strength.

Development Path: Trammell’s baseline production tapered off in the upper minors last year. He likely returns to an uber-talented Amarillo club in the Texas League to start 2020, looking to prove he has the range and enough arm to stick in CF long-term as well as consistently tapping into his power.

Fantasy Impact: As a potential leadoff type, this is a bat that projects to be a solid contributor in R/SB and there’s likely average HR upside at his peak. We like him a smidge more in OBP formats given an established ability to get on base at a quality rate, though his BA floor is higher than most.

Upside Grade: 8B

5. Luis Campusano (C) ... 6-0, 200 ... R/R ... 21 ... 2017 (2) HS (GA)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017AZL Padres 2 (Ariz)13.269/.344/.3880920.000/0
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)121.281/.362/.41311800.634/0
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)260.288/.345/.3657830.443/0
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)422.325/.396/.50911860.9115/0
Comments: Thick, strong CA who grew into his power and made palpable approach gains in Hi-A. Swings hard and has tremendous bat speed, but also shows natural feel to hit. Below-average runner; potential base-clogger. Has plus arm and transfer times have improved behind plate. Receiving and blocking will require more work, but has a chance to stick at CA.

Development Path: Campusano’s bat is ready for the upper minors, and the Padres are expected to push him up to AA to start 2020. He likely won’t make his debut until his defense improves more, so expect an ETA of 2021 before we see him in action on a consistent basis.

Fantasy Impact: Campusano has a chance to provide value in HR/RBI/BA as a middle-of-the-order bat and everyday catcher long-term. Young catching prospects are traditionally volatile, so approach him with some caution, but he’s comfortably a second-tier dynasty CA prospect worth investing in.

Upside Grade: 8C

6. Adrian Morejon (LHP) ... 6-0, 165 ... 21 ... 2017 FA (CU)
2017Tri-City (Nwst)35.13.571.1300.88.90.259
2018Azl Padres (Ariz)2.26.751.8800.013.50.385
2018Lake Elsinore (Calif)62.23.301.2403.410.13.0.223
2019Amarillo (Tex)
2019San Diego (NL)
Comments: Young, promising LH made his MLB debut last summer but landed on IL with shoulder tweak; has struggled staying healthy as a pro. Features good velocity at 94-96 mph (t98) and will drop in a plus fading CU for whiffs, though still ironing out feel for his breaking ball. Strong, athletic build and repeats delivery well. Dom, GB% both above average.

Development Path: Morejon's shoulder impingement shortened his 2019 campaign. A full recovery this winter could give him the opportunity to break spring camp with the big-league club, but expect him to return to the high minors to build up his strength.

Fantasy Impact: Morejon has the look of a future solid-average, mid-rotation starter with at least average Dom ability. There is a considerable amount of risk in the profile with his health moving forward, though, and a move to the bullpen could be in the works down the line.

Upside Grade: 8B

7. Jeisson Rosario (OF) ... 6-1, 175 ... L/L ... 20 ... 2016 FA (DR)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)187.299/.404/.36915810.921/8
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)436.271/.368/.35313750.613/18
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)430.242/.372/.31417730.763/11
Comments: Premium athlete with ‘plus CF defender’ written all over him and also led A-ball hitters with 17% walk rate. Excruciatingly patient hitter who works deep into counts consistently. Smooth, level swing geared toward line drives the opposite way and has ct% foundation to tweak swing for future average power. Plus runner who projects to have SB value.

Development Path: Rosario will be one of the youngest hitters to reach Double-A in 2020 and should be in line to make his debut at some point in 2021. He will need to work on tapping into his in-game power more frequently and possibly adding more strength before challenging for PT.

Fantasy Impact: Rosario’s combination of speed and plate discipline as a plus CF give reason to believe he should be highly coveted in OBP formats. His contact skills portend at least solid-average BA long-term and as he learns to turn on pitches more frequently, there could be 10-12 HR value here, too.

Upside Grade: 8C

8. Michel Baez (RHP) ... 6-8, 220 ... 24 ... 2017 FA (CU)
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)5.03.600.8003.612.63.5.118
2018Lake Elsinore (Calif)86.22.911.2203.
2018San Antonio (Tex)18.17.361.8505.910.31.7.286
2019Amarillo (Tex)
2019San Diego (NL)
Comments: Tall, hard-throwing RHP who showed promise in MLB debut out of the 'pen. Maxes out at 98 mph on plus FB and produces whiffs at high rate on elite CU. CB/SL feel lags behind, but both project to be useable pitches. Height and long levers make it difficult to repeat delivery at times. Groomed as SP, his future could be in the ninth inning.

Development Path: There is a strong possibility that Baez will crack San Diego’s Opening Day roster in 2020. He may not get many opportunities to close right away (see: Kirby Yates), but he has the skills to rack up Ks as a setup-type arm throughout next season.

Fantasy Impact: Baez’s combination of size, velocity and an elite offspeed pitch give him upside as an effective late-inning reliever long-term. There’s some risk in that he presently has fringe-average command and a mostly fly-ball profile, but he projects to have value in all formats.

Upside Grade: 8B

9. Ryan Weathers (LHP) ... 6-1, 200 ... 20 ... 2018 (1) HS (TN)
2018AZL Padres 2 (Ariz)9.13.861.1802.
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)
2019Fort Wayne (Midw)96.03.841.2401.
Comments: Advanced three-pitch teen who posted quality ratios in introduction to full-season MWL bats. Shows three above-average offerings of which he has solid command. FB sits in low-90s with armside movement. Repeats delivery well, allowing CU to play up, while CB shows 1-to-7 depth. Good athlete with feel for pitching; difficult to square up.

Development Path: Weathers will tackle the High-A California League after breaking spring camp. He has a chance to move quicker than most presently teenage arms in that he is maxed out physically and he has advanced pitchability and command of his stuff.

Fantasy Impact: Weathers’ fantasy upside may be limited in that he lacks a plus, putaway offering, but he comes with a high floor and relatively low risk. He’s a good bet to become a mid-rotation starter with fringe Dom returns but solid overall ratios long-term.

Upside Grade: 8C

10. Tucupita Marcano (2B,3B,SS) ... 6-0, 165 ... L/R ... 20 ... 2017 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2018AZL Padres 2 (Ariz)124.395/.497/.44417922.600/10
2018Tri-City (Nwst)70.314/.355/.4295910.671/5
2019Fort Wayne (Midw)460.270/.323/.3377900.782/15
Comments: Skinny, wiry SS posted lowest K-rate in MWL. Combines elite contact ability with patient, discerning eye. Works deep into counts and can put bat on ball in any quadrant of strike zone. Slender build and spray-hitter mentality that isn’t conducive to much raw power. Good athlete with some speed to provide moderate SB impact.

Development Path: Marcano still projects to be at least two years away from contributing. In that time, he will need to add strength to his lean frame and learn to tap into his power more consistently. He projects to start 2020 in the High-A California League.

Fantasy Impact: Marcano possesses feel to hit and exceptional plate discipline required for a solid-average BA or higher. He may never provide average HR/RBI value, but he could be a .290 BA, 20+ SB type with positional versatility at 2B/SS, which is at least an average everyday contributor.

Upside Grade: 8D

11. Edward Olivares (OF) ... 6-2, 186 ... R/R ... 24 ... 2014 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Bluefield (App)55.273/.339/.4188780.421/1
2017Lansing (Midw)426.277/.330/.5005810.2717/18
2017Dunedin (FSL)68.221/.312/.26511750.470/2
2018Lake Elsinore (Calif)531.277/.321/.4295810.2812/21
2019Amarillo (Tex)488.283/.349/.4538800.4418/35
Comments: Toolsy OF prospect who flashed power and speed in first tour of the upper minors. Chance to be impact SB source with plus speed from his athletic, wiry frame. Covers real estate and has strong arm for any OF spot. Approach is aggressive and overall contact skills vs. off-speed is fringy. Owns good bat speed and power plays well to LF/CF.

Development Path: Olivares will start 2020 with AAA-El Paso and more than likely becomes a stat-stuffer at that level given the hitter-friendly environment of the PCL. He will have a chance to make his debut at some point mid-season, but working on his approach is the biggest roadblock for him at this point.

Fantasy Impact: Olivares comes with some risk in that a presently fringy ct% profile and poor Eye could project him to a .220-.240 BA with suboptimal OBP early in his career. That said, there is good upside here with HR/SB ability, and he still has room to add some muscle to his frame.

Upside Grade: 8C

12. Esteury Ruiz (2B) ... 6-0, 150 ... R/R ... 21 ... 2015 FA (DR)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017Azl Royals (Ariz)86.419/.440/.7794770.203/9
2017Azl Padres (Ariz)120.350/.395/.6027720.261/17
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)439.253/.324/.4038680.2712/49
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)339.239/.300/.3577700.266/34
Comments: Wiry utility prospect who plays “all-out” style and possesses an intriguing combination of tools. Has whippy, plus bat speed and shows good raw power to pull-side. Inconsistent barrel path and effort in swing can lead to contact issues; also willing to expand the zone. Likes to run and is aggressive on bases. Still searching for a defensive home.

Development Path: Ruiz’s production has tapered off as he has moved up the minor league ladder, so opening up 2020 back in the CAL could be on the horizon. A September callup in 2021 would be a reasonable timeline for him as he looks to sort out his contact issues and add more strength.

Fantasy Impact: Ruiz’s best chance for impact is with his speed. He is a plus-plus runner who, despite projecting to have a below-average OBP, could be a dynamic SB source with 15-18 HR upside. The downside in the profile is BA, a category in which he could be a liability until further notice.

Upside Grade: 8D

13. Ronald Bolanos (RHP) ... 6-2, 195 ... 23 ... 2017 FA (CU)
2017Fort Wayne (Midw)69.14.411.4304.
2018Lake Elsinore (Calif)
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)53.22.851.1203.
2019Amarillo (Tex)
2019San Diego (NL)19.25.951.4705.
Comments: Strong, durable RHP who was aggressively promoted from Hi-A to MLB in 2019. Topped out at 99 mph in his debut but more comfortably sits 92-95 mph with armside movement on FB. CB/SL both project as average and CU remains a work in progress. Crossfire in delivery creates deception to plate, but command can suffer at times because of it.

Development Path: Bolanos figures to return to the upper minors to start 2020, as he has work to do with his change-up and command to realize his goal of remaining in the rotation. He will be contributing to the major league roster at some point next season.

Fantasy Impact: Bolanos has the size, pitch mix and above-average peripheral ability (SwK/GB%) to profile well as a back-of-the-rotation starter long-term. There isn’t a true plus pitch in this arsenal, and ideally you’d like to see a bit more command, but he will possess value in all fantasy formats.

Upside Grade: 8D

14. Hudson Potts (3B) ... 6-2, 180 ... R/R ... 21 ... 2016 (1) HS (TX)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017Fort Wayne (Midw)491.253/.293/.4384710.1620/0
2018Lake Elsinore (Calif)406.281/.350/.4988720.3317/3
2018San Antonio (Tex)78.154/.258/.23111580.302/1
2019Azl Padres (Ariz)12.667/.692/1.0000750.001/0
2019Amarillo (Tex)409.227/.290/.4067690.2516/3
Comments: Big-bodied 3B prospect who has good raw power but also lacks plate skills and ideal contact. Continues to post quality x/h% despite being young for each level. Loves to get the bat head out front, allowing power to flourish, but struggles covering the outer half. Aggressive, often free swinging mentality. Glove works at 3B, but could move to LF/RF.

Development Path: Potts missed time mid-season in 2019 with an undisclosed injury and was sent to the AFL for a short period to make up for missed PT. The plan for him should be to return to AA to iron out his approach which, unless addressed, could be problematic for him whenever he makes his debut.

Fantasy Impact: Potts has demonstrated an ability to hit for power despite questionable contact. If he makes some gains in ct%, there could be 35 HR potential here. He’s still only 21, so there’s time to refine his approach, but he looks like a good HR/RBI contributor with some BA/OBP risk.

Upside Grade: 8D

15. Gabriel Arias (SS) ... 6-1, 185 ... R/R ... 20 ... 2016 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017AZL Padres 2 (Ariz)153.275/.329/.3536670.200/4
2017Azl White Sox (Ariz)0.000/.000/.0000000/0
2017Fort Wayne (Midw)62.242/.266/.2583740.130/1
2018Fort Wayne (Midw)455.240/.302/.3528670.286/3
2019Lake Elsinore (Calif)477.302/.339/.4705730.2017/8
Comments: Defensively advanced SS had full breakout with the bat in hitter-friendly CAL. Added roughly 10 points to his fly-ball rate and even flashed some pop to the opposite field, and power is intriguing. Can be overly aggressive early in counts and despite smooth cut and bat speed, bat to ball skills will need work. Good athlete with physical projection.

Development Path: Arias, 19, will be one of the youngest hitters in the Texas League next spring. He will be the beneficiary of a strong hitters’ park in Amarillo, so expect his prospect stock to rise as he hits for more power and adds strength. Adding more contact and walking more could really move the needle.

Fantasy Impact: Arias does not possess a true plus tool offensively, as he may lose a step as he fills out physically and his contact skills remain questionable. He projects as a utility infielder with above-average power and he could provide some SB value with enough PT volume.

Upside Grade: 8D

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