Organization Reports


2023 Organization Report: Philadelphia Phillies

by Brent Hershey

Organization Grades

Hitting: D ... Pitching: B- ... Top-end Talent: B ... Depth: D ... Overall: C-

Minor League Affiliates

Triple-A: Lehigh Valley (AAA East)
Double-A: Reading (AA Northeast)
High-A: Jersey Shore (A+ East)
Low-A: Clearwater (A Southeast)
Rookie: FCL Phillies (Florida Complex League)
Rookie: DSL Phillies (Dominican Summer League)

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1. Andrew Painter (RHP) ... 6-6, 230 ... 19 ... 2021 (1) HS (FL)
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)38.21.400.8533.716.14.4.128
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)36.20.980.8731.712.07.1.185
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)28.12.540.9530.611.80.227
Comments: High-90s FB from simple mechanics and 3/4s release. Throws all pitches for strikes; can finish off ABs with FB, SL, CU. Tall, strong build commands the game and has poise for days. Steals strikes and gets chases from low-80s SL; CU doesn't move a ton, but tunnels from FB slot and velo difference results in huge whiff rates. A teenager, but ready.

Development Path: Finished 2022 with 5 starts in AA and was toying with batters there as much as he was in the lower minors. Phils FO has primed the pump that with an outstanding spring, Painter could be on Opening Day roster as a 19-year-old. If not, it's Triple-A and then a midseason callup.

Fantasy Impact: Painter and Grayson Rodriguez are the two best SP prospects in baseball right now, and both have top of the rotation potential. Painter's mix of huge K-BB%, elite strikeout ability and MLB playoff team context only elevates his ceiling. It's ace-level potential.

Upside Grade: 9B

2. Griff McGarry (RHP) ... 6-2, 185 ... 23 ... 2021 (5) Virginia
2021Virginia (ACC)43.05.441.6748.814.41.6.189
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)46.23.861.2214.615.83.4.191
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)
2022Lehigh Valley IronPigs (IL2)
Comments: Took a huge step forward in 2022 in terms of both throwing enough strikes, but also in pitch development. New mid-80s cutter had striking whiff and chase rates; adding to his riding, high-spin FB and developing SL, CB and even CU. The raw, powerful stuff papers over only middling present command, though can also go wrong quickly. About ready.

Development Path: A late-2022 move to relief in AAA with MLB aspirations did not go well. Phillies will push him back to starting for now; the upside there is tremendous if command can just get to average. Throwing strikes, sequencing the main goals when he starts in Triple-A. Should debut sometime in 2023.

Fantasy Impact: McGarry is one of these pitching prospects who is likely to return fantasy value wherever he ends up. High strikeout rate will be the constant, WHIP likely not ever pristine, but wins/ERA as a SP and eventual Sv as a RP are both on the table.

Upside Grade: 9C

3. Mick Abel (RHP) ... 6-5, 185 ... 21 ... 2020 (1) HS (OR)
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)44.24.431.2095.413.32.5.168
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)23.03.521.3484.710.62.3.216
Comments: Lean starter continues to fill out and put together a very good season over two levels. Four-pitch mix highlighted by FB/SL combo that he can both land for strikes and gets whiffs/chases on. CU can sometimes gets too firm, but ahead of CB right now. Great arm speed; still some projectability, impeccable mound presence and intangibles. High floor.

Development Path: Passed by Painter/McGarry on this list, but Abel is still improving and maintains a high ceiling. Some additional upper body strength could add a tick or two in velocity. Maturity off the charts. Likely will head back to AA; late 2023 MLB debut possible, but 2024 more likely.

Fantasy Impact: Ceiling is a strong #2 starter with K upside and very good ratios; a solid #3 mid-rotation workhorse in the fallback. But youth/frame/solid foundation provides the base for additional improvement.

Upside Grade: 9C

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4. Johan Rojas (OF) ... 6-1, 165 ... R/R ... 22 ... 2018 FA (DR)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)4.750/.750/1.500010001/1
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)313.240/.305/.3748780.387/25
2021Jersey Shore (A1_East)64.344/.419/.56310880.883/8
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)265.230/.287/.3257790.383/33
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)235.260/.333/.3878810.484/29
Comments: Exciting, smaller-framed athlete with some loud tools—foot speed, CF-quality defense, excellent bat-to-ball skills. Very good second half at Double-A, where he worked on hitting the ball in the air more. Won't ever be a slugger; seeking some additional gap power to fill out his game. Can chase at times but not a free swinger. Good bunter.

Development Path: Rojas will head back to AA-Reading to start 2023 and could see Triple-A by season's end. Points of emphasis will be putting that bat speed and hand/eye to better use by getting a bit more loft in his swing.

Fantasy Impact: Stolen bases are the big draw here, as he should certainly benefit from some of the new MLB rules once he gets there. Stellar CF defense is also a major plus, which means there is less burden on his bat. Good contact rates portend at least average BA with room for more pop.

Upside Grade: 8C

5. Hao Yu Lee (2B,SS) ... 5-10, 190 ... R/R ... 20 ... 2021 FA (TW)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)22.364/.440/.77312770.601/0
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)6.500/.625/1.16725832.001/1
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)258.283/.384/.41512780.637/10
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)35.257/.350/.48613740.561/3
Comments: One of the best pure hitters in the system, his barrel consistently found the ball in his first full pro season at age 19. Doesn't possess plus speed or power, but combines a simple setup and swing with great ball/strike awareness to make his mark. He's played around the infield but 2B seems to be his sweet spot. Pleasant developmental surprise.

Development Path: Did miss some time with a broken hand (via HBP) in 2022, so will head back to High-A to start. But likely will be a candidate for a mid-season promotion to AA.

Fantasy Impact: Arrows point to a bat-first second baseman with a plus BA for fantasy and enough power (maybe 12-15 HR) to keep him in the lineup. Expect a few steals thrown in, too.

Upside Grade: 8D

6. Justin Crawford (OF) ... 6-3, 175 ... L/R ... 19 ... 2022 (1) HS (NV)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)37.297/.395/.35112840.830/8
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)21.143/.217/.1439570.220/2
Comments: Classic prep athlete befitting of Carl Crawford's son. Projectable frame, tons of speed, good routes and overall plus glove in center field. Quality of hit tool less certain; ground-ball heavy and lots of whiffs in teeny Low-A sample. Could add strength for a bit more pop, though unlikely to exceed average power. Needs more polish/reps.

Development Path: There are some hit-tool questions despite the projectable, athletic frame, and power right now is below average also. He'll head back to Low-A Clearwater to start 2023. With his defensive skills/speed, there's a risk he gets moved up before the bat is fully ready.

Fantasy Impact: Still a ways off, but piles of SB from the top of a lineup is the best-case scenario, even if he's power-deficient. Needs to make strides in contact and proving he can hit pro pitching. Secondary outcome would be low-lineup hitter with defensive value and double-digit steals.

Upside Grade: 8D

7. Andrew Baker (RHP) ... 6-2, 185 ... 23 ... 2021 (11) Chipola
2020Auburn (SEC)5.29.533.0009.517.51.8.393
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)10.011.702.10015.314.40.9.118
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)43.24.741.4895.
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)10.20.840.7504.
Comments: Improving relief prospect who could move quickly due to reducing his walk rate. Stuff is not bad, either: high-spin, high-90s FB that works up in the zone, and big vertical power breaking ball that gets tons of whiffs and soft contact. Packs a solid frame and has tenacity for the late innings. Consistency is the final hurdle.

Development Path: Huge strides in second half (48:11 K:BB after 24:17 in the first) earned him a promotion to AA-Reading, where he'll likely start 2023. But if those ratios continue, he'll get another promotion and could debut in MLB this year.

Fantasy Impact: The team has several high-minors relief prospects; Baker is likely the closet to the majors due to his recent steps forward in command. Could be a holds source with good strikeout numbers as a setup guy in short order.

Upside Grade: 8C

8. Alex McFarlane (RHP) ... 6-4, 215 ... 21 ... 2022 (4) Miami
2022Miami (ACC)
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)
Comments: Mainly a college RP, has enough of a pitch mix and present SP's build that the team is giving him a rotation look. Long arm action contributes to shaky command, but possesses a high-90s sinker with run that doesn't quite miss enough bats, along with a SL and CU that both show promise. Will need to prove he can throw enough strikes.

Development Path: Will likely take some time to mold into a starter, but the raw ingredients are there. Mechanical tweaks and secondary pitche development raise the probability. But throwing enough strikes at Low-A in 2023 would be a great first step.

Fantasy Impact: There could be a mid-rotation starter here with passable ratios and and OK strikeout rate. Also some back-end bullpen potential because of the arm strength and high-spin rate he gets on both his FB and SL.

Upside Grade: 8D

9. Carlos De La Cruz (1B,OF) ... 6-8, 210 ... R/R ... 23 ... 2017 FA (NY)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)20.200/.467/.20029601.000/3
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)122.148/.252/.23810540.232/2
2021Jersey Shore (A1_East)62.242/.294/.4527630.223/0
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)214.266/.344/.4638650.2510/5
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)151.278/.315/.5105700.187/1
Comments: Raw athlete with NBA frame made big strides becoming a baseball player. Made better contact which enabled all-fields power when was able to extend arms; eye-opening exit velos resulted. Long levers mean he'll always have swing holes, and he'll chase, but can punish mistakes in the zone. Above-average runner; covers ground; likely COR OF future.

Development Path: Finished at AA and performed well in 151 AB; could be sent there to start 2023 or challenged at bit at AAA. Not on a fast track, as the org hopes he can continue to develop and if so, the payoff could be substantial.

Fantasy Impact: At 6-foot-8, there are obviously few comps physically. His floor is a power RH pinch-hitter, but if he continues to progress, could be starter with significant HR upside. Still a bit of a lottery ticket.

Upside Grade: 8D

10. Simon Muzziotti (OF) ... 6-1, 175 ... L/L ... 24 ... 2015 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)2.000/.000/.000010000/0
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)8.000/.111/.00011500.250/0
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)143.259/.339/.45512780.615/7
2022Lehigh Valley IronPigs (IL2)16.313/.389/.31311810.670/1
2022Philadelphia Phillies (NL)7.143/.250/.1430710.000/0
Comments: Parlayed some strength gains into better batted-ball quality in 2022, but two leg injuries kept his AB total low in a season in which he badly needed reps. There is some newfound power/speed appeal, and his plus defensive chops in CF give him a reserve OF floor. At his age, an injury-free season is almost a must for his prospect status.

Development Path: Will start in AAA-Lehigh Valley, but given the long-term OF commitments on the MLB club, he could have some trade appeal by midseason.

Fantasy Impact: A bit under the radar, Muzziotti's best case is a second-division CFer who holds down the position defensively while approaching double-digit HR/SB with a BA that doesn't sting. Think Michael A. Taylor-level output.

Upside Grade: 7C

11. Francisco Morales (RHP) ... 6-4, 185 ... 23 ... 2017 FA (VZ)
2021Reading (AA_NE)83.06.941.6396.511.91.8.234
2021Lehigh Valley (AAA_East)
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)30.11.480.8575.
2022Lehigh Valley IronPigs (IL2)20.29.582.51612.
2022Philadelphia Phillies (NL)
Comments: Moved to full-time relief in 2022 after the organization finally ditched a long search for effective CU. Two-pitch arsenal led by dominant swing-and-miss SL that he threw more than his FB for the first time. Has the physical qualities of a late-inning reliever, but struggles mightily with control, which will be the key to any future success.

Development Path: Has been marred by inconsistency, but the "on" moments led by the outstanding shape/velocity of SL; his walk rates attest to the "off" moments. Was surprisingly taken off the 40-man roster in December. He'll need to work his way back starting at AAA in 2023.

Fantasy Impact: This is an all-or-nothing RP profile. Strike-throwing is job one, and he needs to prove that in the minors first. There is closer-level (saves) potential, but the flameout risk is substantial, also.

Upside Grade: 8D

12. Ethan Wilson (OF) ... 6-2, 210 ... L/L ... 23 ... 2021 (2) South Alabama
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2020South Alabama (SBC)71.282/.329/.4655720.203/6
2021South Alabama (SBC)209.316/.412/.53114901.578/9
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)107.215/.282/.3749770.403/2
2022Jersey Shore BlueClaws (SAL2)424.238/.290/.3446780.307/25
2022Reading Fightin Phils (East2)70.214/.286/.2867700.241/1
Comments: Seen as a high-floor collegian, he's neither been able to hit for much power nor get on base at a good clip in his year and a half as a pro. Did steal 26 bases in 2022, but not necessarily a burner, and that fact that got less patient at the plate is concerning. Power hasn't shown up yet; limited athleticism in the field though has a strong arm.

Development Path: Wilson has been underwhelming in his pro career so far and will return to AA-Reading to start 2023. His profile has been missing power, so homer-friendly park in Reading will need to be taken into account if his HR totals bloom.

Fantasy Impact: Without much pop, Wilson will be hard-pressed to lay claim to a starting gig. He currently is trending towards a LHH bench OF with minimal fantasy impact.

Upside Grade: 7D

13. Alexeis Azuaje (2B) ... 5-10, 155 ... R/R ... 20 ... 2018 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2021FCL Phillies (Rk_FCL)45.400/.509/.8678890.805/4
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)17.176/.176/.2350710.000/1
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)137.285/.355/.3804690.141/15
Comments: Intriguing player with some good bat-on-ball skills that come from a line drive swing. Can get over-aggressive and chase, thinking he can reach everything, so current strikeout totals are high/walks are low. Smaller-framed, but with some added strength, hit tool could get to average power. Passable defense at 2B but limited there.

Development Path: Likely returns to low-A Clearwater to refine his hit tool in terms of making better swing decisions. Challenges on defense means contributions must come from the bat, which needs time.

Fantasy Impact: There is some double-digit speed potential here, but this looks like mainly a hold-your-own backup infielder bat. Limited fantasy appeal at this point.

Upside Grade: 7C

14. Yhoswar Garcia (OF) ... 6-0, 150 ... R/R ... 21 ... 2020 FA (VZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2021Clearwater (A2_SE)70.229/.299/.2718670.260/11
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)6.333/.429/.33314831.000/3
2022Clearwater Threshers (FSL2)126.206/.303/.31010720.401/29
Comments: Suffered severe ankle sprain in mid-May that kept him out for most the season. Mostly singles hitter presently, but can fly: 32 SB in 37 games. Unlikely to produce much extra-base power and still makes some questionable swing decisions. Second year in a row that leg injuries cut short his season; needs to stay on the field. Top-flight CF defender.

Development Path: Badly needs a full season; should start at Low-A Clearwater. Still some time as a 21-year-old, but has lost significant time to injuries.

Fantasy Impact: SB, obviously. Even if he gets to a below-average hit tool, can be a bottom of the order CF whiz who steals 20-ish bases per season. Risk is still high, but this could become a Victor Robles-like outcome.

Upside Grade: 8E

15. Nikau Pouaka-Grego (SS) ... 5-10, 175 ... L/R ... 18 ... 2022 FA (NZ)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2022FCL Phillies (FCL)103.301/.424/.46613841.003/2
Comments: New Zealand teenager signed in Jan of 2022 and popped right into FSL complex ball that summer. Made great contact with more punch than expected and showed command of the strike zone, walking more than he struck out. A bit undersized but some room to grow. May have to move off SS but 2B could be the fit. Age/plate skills make him watchable.

Development Path: He'll start 2023 in Low-A Clearwater and is still likely a one-level-per-year type for now.

Fantasy Impact: He has a grinder, play-above-his-skills quality to him, but as he likely ends up at 2B, he'll need to find a bit more punch with the bat to stand out.

Upside Grade: 8E

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