Very early sub-indicator surgers, 2026

It's still risky to put significant stock into early-season skills, especially aggregate measures like strikeouts and walks. But looking into the components that drive them can be a helpful early-season exercise, since they represent larger sample sizes.

These three batting sub-indicators are key underlying drivers of a hitter's surface stats:

Chase Rate (Chase %)
Swinging Strike Rate (SwK%)
Average Exit Velocity (EV):

These hitters have shown the biggest increase in average exit velocity so far in 2026 (min 30 PA each season):

 20252026Δ
NameLgSwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV 
Ezequiel DuranAL11.8%37.4%85.3 13.1%33.6%92.1 1.4%-3.8%6.8 
Jac CaglianoneAL12.9%38.5%89.4 13.8%32.5%95.1 0.9%-6.0%5.7 
Nick KurtzAL14.2%22.2%92.7 

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