Very early sub-indicator surgers, 2026

It's still risky to put significant stock into early-season skills, especially aggregate measures like strikeouts and walks. But looking into the components that drive them can be a helpful early-season exercise, since they represent larger sample sizes.

These three batting sub-indicators are key underlying drivers of a hitter's surface stats:

Chase Rate (Chase %)
Swinging Strike Rate (SwK%)
Average Exit Velocity (EV):

These hitters have shown the biggest increase in average exit velocity so far in 2026 (min 30 PA each season):

 20252026Δ
NameLgSwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV 
Ezequiel DuranAL11.8%37.4%85.3 13.1%33.6%92.1 1.4%-3.8%6.8 
Jac CaglianoneAL12.9%38.5%89.4 13.8%32.5%95.1 0.9%-6.0%5.7 
Nick KurtzAL14.2%22.2%92.7 

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Miguel Vargas has had star level progress at the plate in 2026, and Jacob Young has sneaky upside as a fantasy contributor.
Jul 24 2026 3:07am
Today's post focuses on players who could impact categories in the near term and how Colorado's and other lineups may be impacted after the trade deadline.
Jul 24 2026 3:06am
Henry Davis's production has been lagging behind his intriguing batted ball quality, at least until the past month, when his results started to catch up.
Jul 20 2026 3:15am
James Wood's ascension to an elite bat has been evident in his stats and skills over the past 12 months.
Jul 13 2026 3:15am
No batter powered up more in June than Hunter Goodman, and he did so while also inching his contact rate forward.
Jul 6 2026 3:10am

Tools