BATTERS: Big seasons in 2011
Jan 6 2012
Last month, the Batting Buyers Guide examined hitters who had very poor seasons in 2011, looking at which of them might be most likely to “regress to the mean” of their weighted average performance from 2008-10.
This exercise lets us apply Ron Shandler’s “Extreme Regression Drafting” team-construction approach, which says to find players who significantly over- or underperformed their historical norms in Year X, and expect them to regress to those norms in Year X+1. So we grab underperformers who look set to regress upwards, and avoid overperformers set to regress downwards.
As with last time, we started by finding the batters whose 2011 seasons varied sharply from their norms, this time by doing far better than their norms...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Jordan Walker has been the game's exit velocity leader in the very early going, supported by a steep reduction in his chase rate.
Apr 6 2026 3:06am
Apr 6 2026 3:06am
Angel Martinez's electric spring and ability to play multiple positions make him an intriguing early bench stash.
Mar 30 2026 3:06am
Mar 30 2026 3:06am
Francisco Alvarez has carried forward his big second half into the spring, giving him legit 30-HR breakout potential in 2026.
Mar 21 2026 3:16am
Mar 21 2026 3:16am
Kevin McGonigle's top prospect pedigree has been on full display this spring, including premium batted ball quality and a mature plate approach.
Mar 21 2026 3:15am
Mar 21 2026 3:15am
Lars Nootbaar's marginal surface stats in 2025 hid some elite batted ball quality, making him a premium end-gamer.
Mar 16 2026 3:10am
Mar 16 2026 3:10am
