Research & Analytics

Matthew

Cederholm

November 04, 2011 12:00 AM GMT

The question, then, is whether we can estimate the "correct" hr/f for a given player. An even more important question is whether we can use that information to predict regression from one season to the next. In two words: yes and yes.

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R&A: Do doubles turn into HR?

Bill

Izenstark

October 26, 2011 12:00 AM GMT

A statistic frequently used to fuel speculation is the number of doubles a player hits - there is often conjecture that a player with a lot of doubles in one year might turn them some of them into HR the next. But does this actually happen with reliable frequency?

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RESEARCH: Workin' the Split Shift 2: Pitchers

Brent

Hershey

July 14, 2011 12:00 AM GMT

Part two of our series on rookie 2H/1H splits that span two seasons. This week, the pitchers.

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RESEARCH: Workin' the Split Shift 1: Hitters

Brent

Hershey

July 08, 2011 12:00 AM GMT

Blurring the lines of rookie "seasons" to look for mid-year trends of 2010 callups.

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RESEARCH: An Introduction to Bruise Rate

BaseballHQ

June 23, 2011 12:01 AM GMT

There are many ways to get on base, but none are as dangerous or painful as being hit by a pitch. Bruise Rate, or BRU, measures the rate of HBP per 600 PA—or about one season. Check out the active leaders in BRU.

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RESEARCH: Hidden Splits Reveal Surprising Power Potential

DeCaria

May 18, 2011 2:01 AM GMT

Many thousands of words have now been written about Toronto's Jose Bautista. No worthwhile forecasting system should have predicted more than 18-24 home runs for him entering 2010. But were there any logical indications that he could have not only beat that forecast, but that he could have more than doubled it?

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RESEARCH: Fun with Swinging Strikes

Michael

Weddell

May 11, 2011 12:00 PM GMT

We compare pitchers' 2010 and 2011 year-to-date performances with swing strike percentages, looking for pitchers where the change in SS% indicates a change in Dom different from what has happened so far.

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RESEARCH: Breaking Down Strikeouts with PITCHf/x

Brandon

Wilson

May 04, 2011 12:00 PM GMT

What makes a strikeout? The first picture that comes to mind for many of us is that of a pitcher (probably a closer) blowing the hitter away with his fastball. So what are the pitch attributes that lend themselves to strikeouts more than others? We set out to explore that question this week by looking at PITCHf/x data.

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RESEARCH: Pitcher's Hard-Hit Data: Another Look

Bill

Izenstark

April 27, 2011 12:00 PM GMT

Back in 2009, we began a series of research articles looking at hard-hit data for both batters and pitchers. The research confirmed what you might expect—pitchers with lower hard-hit rates (HH%) generally had better results: higher Dom, lower hr/f rates, and subsequently, lower ERAs. However, at the time of that original research, we didn't have enough years of data to conclude whether pitchers actually had any control over their hard-hit rates. Now we do.

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RESEARCH: It's Closer Hunting Season

DeCaria

April 20, 2011 12:00 PM GMT

Hunting? In April? Absolutely. The following analysis focuses on the hunt for new closers, with specific focus placed on the timing of transition from one closer to another. Once the hunt is complete and we have satisfied our craving for saves, we will return to the picture above to see if it holds any hidden meaning after all.

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