Research & Analytics

April 06, 2012 12:01 AM GMT
Earlier this year we reviewed historical performance (in the form of RC/G and xERA) across each division and created a strength of schedule metric at the division level (i.e. an average for all teams in a division). In this article, we tackle two refinements to that approach—one improvement is the inclusion of projections (from to make it a forward-looking indicator. The other is the calculation of the metric at the team level to enable more detailed analysis and better insights.
March 30, 2012 12:01 AM GMT
As part of an ongoing series, we continue to explore how behavioral economic principles may assist in the management of your fantasy baseball roster. The week, we discuss how attachment and endowment effects may impact roster decisions.
March 29, 2012 4:02 AM GMT
One of the pleasant surprises of the 2011 was Jeff Francoeur who earned a career high roto value of $27, which was driven by 20 HR and a career high 22 SB. While the 20 HR weren't completely out of line for him (he had hit 29 HR in 2006), the SB seemingly came out of nowhere, after posting a previous high of just eight SB in 2011. Even in hindsight, there's no way we could have seen this outburst coming. Right?
March 22, 2012 2:02 AM GMT
It has long been a dictum of fantasy baseball that groundball pitchers are to be sought and flyball pitchers avoided. In this R&A essay, we’ll look at some high-level stats to see if there’s any validity to any of it.
March 16, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
Teams that win fantasy titles often have players on their rosters that deliver more value than either their draft round or their auction price would predict. Often these are players who have breakouts in one or more scoring categories that weren't anticipated. Three players who exceeded expectations in SBs last year were Emilio Bonafacio (SS, MIA), Jason Bourgeois (OF, HOU), and Ben Revere (OF, MIN). We can target players in drafts who have a possibility of returning significant profit in the SB category by developing a profile of players who have had a SB breakout in the past.
March 01, 2012 1:00 AM GMT
Platoon splits are a key part of the in-game management—but do they have any fanalytic value?
February 23, 2012 1:01 AM GMT
Sergio Romo knows how to get Ks and weak contact. It's a powerful combination.
February 16, 2012 12:30 PM GMT
Many fantasy owners target elite performers in scarce statistics like SBs. If you can draft one or two top base stealers, you can focus on the other categories as you draft your remaining hitters. In 2011, eight of the top ten base stealers in the AL had appeared in the top ten at least one time before, and six of the top ten in the NL had a previous top ten performance. Can we increase our chances of drafting one of these elite stolen base performers ?
February 09, 2012 1:01 AM GMT
With the introduction of the unbalanced schedule just over a decade ago, Major League Baseball introduced a system where teams face divisional rivals for a greater number of games than teams outside the division. From a fantasy perspective, one has to wonder what impact this macro-level divisional factor might have on player performance over the course of a season and how it could be leveraged to positively effect draft strategy.
February 08, 2012 1:00 AM GMT
If you use Standings Gain Points to value players, you'll know that the denominators are the key to the whole thing. Here are estimates of the denominators, culled from league standings for the past three years.

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