STARTERS: Ten overrated SP

If you are looking to minimize your risk on draft day, it's best to avoid bidding market value on starting pitchers whose xERA were significantly higher than their actual ERA. These SP likely will be overvalued in many drafts.

In 2011, there were over 30 SP with xERA that were at least 1.50 ER higher than their actual ERA:

Name                League  ERA   xERA  Diff
================    ======  ====  ====  =====
Aceves, Alfredo         AL  2.61  4.18  (1.57)
Hellickson, Jeremy      AL  2.95  4.47  (1.52)
Johnson, Josh           NL  1.64  3.13  (1.49)
Moscoso, Guillermo      AL  3.38  4.72  (1.34)
Weaver, Jered           AL  2.41  3.68  (1.27)
Cueto, Johnny           NL  2.31  3.57 ...


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