STARTERS: Ten overrated SP
Dec 23 2011
If you are looking to minimize your risk on draft day, it's best to avoid bidding market value on starting pitchers whose xERA were significantly higher than their actual ERA. These SP likely will be overvalued in many drafts.
In 2011, there were over 30 SP with xERA that were at least 1.50 ER higher than their actual ERA:
-------2011------
Name League ERA xERA Diff
================ ====== ==== ==== =====
Aceves, Alfredo AL 2.61 4.18 (1.57)
Hellickson, Jeremy AL 2.95 4.47 (1.52)
Johnson, Josh NL 1.64 3.13 (1.49)
Moscoso, Guillermo AL 3.38 4.72 (1.34)
Weaver, Jered AL 2.41 3.68 (1.27)
Cueto, Johnny NL 2.31 3.57 ...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Starting Pitchers
Jake Bennett's intriguing pitch profile translated well from Triple-A to the Red Sox in June, making him a premium speculation in deeper leagues.
Jul 4 2026 3:07am
Jul 4 2026 3:07am
Cam Schlittler's breakthrough season would get even better if he could improve his third-time-through lineup skills.
Jun 27 2026 3:10am
Jun 27 2026 3:10am
Ben Brown gets dialed in with runners on base. Finding a similar approach with the bases empty will help him take a sustained step forward.
Jun 20 2026 3:05am
Jun 20 2026 3:05am
The ups-and-downs of Jesús Luzardo can be traced to some really ugly results when he pitches at home, largely due to some bad luck during those starts.
Jun 13 2026 3:09am
Jun 13 2026 3:09am
Chase Dollander's filthy skills against same-sided bats reinforce his upper-rotation ceiling.
Jun 6 2026 3:10am
Jun 6 2026 3:10am
