Second-half surgers, 2023

Our last column of the season with a 2023 focus takes a look at starting pitchers whose skills have surged since July 1.

Here are the 1H to 2H BPV changes of all starting pitchers, along with 1H-2H changes for other key skill components (min. 20 IP each half):

Let's take a closer look at some second-half surgers worth owning down the stretch and heading into 2024.


Tanner Bibee (RHP, CLE) did not own good command building blocks in the first half of 2023 (9.5% SwK%, 58% FpK%, 38% Ball%). All of those marks have soared in the second half: 12.1% SwK%, 64% FpK%, 36% Ball%. Those measures support a higher BPV than the one he has shown since July (94 BPV).

Griffin Canning (RHP, LAA) has shown lethal stuff since the beginning of...


You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Grayson Rodriguez's steady growth during the 2023 season makes him a premium breakout target in 2024 drafts.
Mar 2 2024 3:02am
Brandon Pfaadt's second half gains in 2023 and premium strikeout upside makes him an intriguing LIMA speculation in 2024 drafts.
Feb 24 2024 3:04am
Nick Lodolo resembled a future upper-rotation starter before breaking his tibia early in 2023. A healthy version could be ready to break out in 2024.
Feb 16 2024 3:04am
George Kirby's premium strike-throwing ability makes him one of the top young targets in the game.
Feb 1 2024 6:26am
Tarik Skubal was the game's most dominant starting pitcher during the final month of 2023, making him a premium early 2024 breakout target.
Jan 10 2024 9:00am