STARTERS: Expected Ctl, Dom gainers 2020
Feb 6 2020
Comparing strikeout and walk levels with command sub-indicators like swinging strike rate and ball percentage can be an effective way to forecast changes in a starting pitcher's command.
Our research on swinging strike rates (SwK%) showed that SwK% has a strong link with dominance rate (K/9). As such, we can use it to calculate a SP's expected Dom (xDom).
Here is an updated correlation table between SwK% and Dom based on data from 2017 to 2019:
-
xDom Ranges by SwK% Level ------xDom by Percentile---- SwK% Range 10th 25th 50th 75th 90th ========== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== 15.0% 10.7 11.0 11.7 12.2 12.8 14.0-14.9% 10.4 10.7 11.6 12.3 12.9 13.0-13.9% 9.1 9.6 10.5 10.8 11.5 12.5-12.9% 8.7 9.2...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Starting Pitchers
The huge spring of young Didier Fuentes has him on the cusp of the ATL rotation.
Mar 28 2026 3:09am
Mar 28 2026 3:09am
Cam Schlittler has built upon his late-season emergence with an excellent showing this spring.
Mar 20 2026 3:12am
Mar 20 2026 3:12am
The tweaked pitch mix of Matthew Liberatore has helped to fuel his electric spring.
Mar 20 2026 3:11am
Mar 20 2026 3:11am
Braxton Garrett enters 2026 as a premium injury profit play given his excellent pre-injury skills and early favorable ADP.
Mar 14 2026 3:06am
Mar 14 2026 3:06am
Drew Rasmussen's more good-than-great skills in 2025 suggest his sterling surface stats could be due for big corrections in 2026.
Mar 7 2026 3:09am
Mar 7 2026 3:09am
