STARTERS: Early buy low targets, 2018

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year, as they can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

The following SP have the largest gaps between their actual ERA and their skills-driven expected ERA (xERA):

• xERA vs. ERA - 2018 YTD*
  
  Name                   League  BPV  ERA    xERA  Diff
  =====================  ======  ===  =====  ====  =====
  Tillman, Chris             AL  -56  10.46  7.01  +3.45
  Stroman, Marcus            AL   60   7.71  4.39  +3.32
  Wright, Mike               AL   24   8.72  5.42  +3.30
  Perez, Martin              AL  -10   9.67  6.56  +3.11
  Graveman, Kendall          AL   68   7.60  4.54  +3.06
  Glasnow, Tyler             NL  102   6.10 ...

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