STARTERS: BPV none on/runners on, 2022

Our research a decade ago showed that there are significant skill differences among pitchers when throwing with the bases empty compared to with runners on base.

This trend continues to hold true. Pitchers have produced a 100+ BPV in five straight seasons with the bases empty, while their skills when pitching with runners on base have been 30% lower.

We can visualize this impact by comparing the skills of pitchers in those two situations over the last 9+ seasons with the average overall skills posted by starting pitchers during the same period:

Let's take a look at some significant early none on/runners on splits so far in 2022 by focusing on those guys with the widest none on/runners on skills splits (min 20 IP none on/runners on):

More From Starting Pitchers

Chase Burns had the filthiest stuff of any starting pitcher in the game in July.
Aug 2 2025 3:07am
Jose Soriano's skills have grown massively since June 1, making him a premium stretch-run target.
Jul 26 2025 3:05am
Logan Henderson's intriguing small-sample-size skills with the Brewers give him some hidden intrigue moving into the second half.
Jul 19 2025 3:05am
Logan Gilbert's skills over the past 12 months have been the best among all starting pitchers.
Jul 12 2025 3:06am
Jose Soriano's rough stats in June hid some really intriguing underlying skills.
Jul 5 2025 3:09am

Tools