GM's OFFICE: Projections, psychology, and the Astros scandal

On an episode of the TGFBI podcast in mid-January, it was the first question I got asked. Earlier that day, MLB had released the report on the Astros sign-stealing scandal that had confirmed earlier reporting of the trash-can-banging scheme. The day’s news revolved around the suspension, then firing, of Houston GM Jeff Luhnow and Manager A.J. Hinch (though curiously, the plan was characterized as entirely player-driven). But the question was fair enough, given what we do here:

Will you be adjusting the 2020 BaseballHQ.com player projections given what we now know about the Astros?

My answer was “No,” and the reasoning was the same as it’s been for our response to the PED era, or the 2020 Rabbit Ball, or any one of a number of similar...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From GM's Office

Looking back at successful prognostications from Baseball HQ in 2026.
FREE
Oct 2 2026 3:01am
Our annual sorting exercise for 2026's outlying performances, the first step in trying to refine our processes for 2027.
Sep 30 2026 3:01am
The 2026 fantasy baseball season is over. BaseballHQ.com writers fared well in industry and expert competitions. Here's the details.
FREE
Sep 29 2026 3:01am
Introducing a couple of new tools on the site, and re-introducing some older ones that you might be overlooking...
Aug 20 2026 7:00am
Each baseball season brings tweaks and changes, to both players (we're looking at you, Randy Vásquez!) and our site toolbox and staff. Here are some BaseballHQ updates.
Apr 24 2026 8:30am

Tools