GM's OFFICE: Categories of surprises, 2019 edition

One of our key principles here at BaseballHQ.com is transparency: we believe in showing our work, our thought processes, and the inputs that we use to reach conclusions. At this time of year, that often means a look back at what we got right and wrong this season. That process is well underway and will soon become visible to you, as the 2020 Baseball Forecaster heads to the printer in the next week or so, and soon after that as we ramp up our 2020 coverage here on the site.

That reflective process means that we know we are fallible, and years of experience tell us that we're always going to be wrong in a whole bunch of different ways. In fact, we're so used to the process of missing projections that we have an entire system of...

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