ROTISSERIE: Risk matters

(Note: we’re assuming 15-team mixed leagues when we talk about “rounds” here.)

Most fantasy GMs consider risk when drafting, but personally, we don’t believe that many (even many experts) think about risk. Yes, players slide down in ADP because they’re known risks, but based on how drafts are playing out, it’s often only the outliers and recently injured who slide significantly. And even then, they often don’t slide enough.

So we’re here to say that risk matters! And while it matters at all points in the draft, it matters most in the early rounds. If that 20th-round flyer is a bust, it didn’t cost you much, but if one of your early-round picks doesn’t pan out, it can kill your entire season.

The early rounds form the foundation of your...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Rotisserie

There are plenty of young and taltented catchers as we enter the 2026 season.
Dec 11 2025 3:05am
An attempt to identify the best and most MLB-ready of both marginal producers and legit prospects with upside at the SS position.
Dec 9 2025 3:02am
Matt Shaw headlines our crop of dynasty building blocks at the hot corner.
Dec 4 2025 3:04am
We'll take a look at NL outfielders who could see big value gains over the next few seasons, as well as those that could net sharp dynasty owners huge returns as soon as 2026.
Dec 2 2025 8:00am
We kick off our Dynasty Reload series with the AL outfield. There are several interesting prospects and a couple of first-year flops (like Jac Caglianone) poised for a rebound.
FREE
Nov 28 2025 8:02am

Tools