Larnach, Crochet, Toro, H. Brown, Singleton
May 16 2024
Larnach might be breaking out ... After hitting 20 home runs with two stolen bases and a .222 BA in 693 plate appearances (2021-2023), Trevor Larnach (OF, MIN) has three homers with a .328 BA in 70 plate appearances. Is he running hot, or can we identify any skill changes?
| Season | PA | HR | BA/xBA | BB% | ct% | h% | GB%/FB% | PX/xPX | HR/F | BPX |
| 2021 | 301 | 7 | .223/.192 | 10% | 60% | 34% | 47%/36% | 99/83 | 13% | 0 |
| 2022 | 180 | 5 | .231/.228 | 11% | 64% | 33% | 43%/40% | 147/143 | 12% | 79 |
| 2023 | 212 | 8 | .213/.210 | 13% | 61% | 30% | 33%/49% | 138/187 | 15% | 61 |
| 2024 | 70 | 3 | .328/.235 | 7% | 77% | 39% | 39%/45% | 107/110 | 14% | 134 |
It's a mix of skill changes and luck factors:
- Given the h%, luck factors have been in Larnach's favor. However, he's significantly improved his contact rates, which jumped 14 percentage points from his career average. Larnach used to play better in OBP...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Facts & Flukes
A skills-based look at Caminero's breakout encore, Keaschall's sophomore season, Rocker's recent returns, and more.
Jul 9 2026 3:05am
Jul 9 2026 3:05am
What's up with Kyle Tucker? Plus, Braxton Ashcraft, Luis García Jr., Nick Lodolo, and Jake McCarthy
Jul 8 2026 3:06am
Jul 8 2026 3:06am
Nick Kurtz has been as good as advertised, pushing for another 40-HR season with a high BA. Plus, Chandler Simpson, Ceddanne Rafaela, Bryce Miller, and Kevin Gausman.
Jul 6 2026 3:06am
Jul 6 2026 3:06am
Shohei Ohtani has a stellar 1.58 ERA. What can we expect going forward? Plus, Zack Wheeler, Michael Busch, Ezequiel Tovar, and Mauricio Dubón
Jul 1 2026 3:05am
Jul 1 2026 3:05am
Shea Langeliers continues to produce at a high level, with excellent power along with a solid batting average at catcher. Plus, Brandon Nimmo, Josh Naylor, Jacob deGrom, and Shane Baz.
Jun 29 2026 3:08am
Jun 29 2026 3:08am
