F/F SPOTLIGHT: Manuel Margot
May 20 2022
When a former top prospect establishes an MLB baseline as a solid regular, the market’s expectations of him lower accordingly.
Take Manuel Margot (RF/DH, TAM) and his 395 ADP in 2022 drafts. He once ranked among the game’s top 25 MLB prospects back in 2017. Scouts saw the potential for a .300 BA, 20 HR, and 40 SB at his peak. He was rated as a 9C prospect in April 2017 by our scouting writers.
But his production since that time has been good, not great:
Fast-forward to 2022, and the hyped version of Margot has come to fruition in 92 AB:
- .348 BA, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 5 SB, .912 OPS, $27
At first glance, his 38% hit rate is 10 points above its prior baseline, a variance that favors regression. But a closer look reveals several reasons to...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Facts & Flukes
Is Kerry Carpenter legitimate? We'll examine the skills, luck factors, and other metrics for him, Brayan Bello, Steven Kwan, Chris Paddack, and Jake Meyers
Jun 12 2025 3:05am
Jun 12 2025 3:05am
Michael Harris II starts slowly. Also: David Peterson, Willy Adames, Jason Adam, and Willson Contreras
Jun 10 2025 3:06am
Jun 10 2025 3:06am
Cody Bellinger is having his best season since 2019. Zach Eflin is back from the IL. Does Charlie Morton have anything left? And updates on Drew Waters and Miguel Vargas.
Jun 9 2025 3:07am
Jun 9 2025 3:07am
Let's examine Lars Nootbaar's skills at a deeper level to find any notable changes beyond the common underlying metrics.
Jun 6 2025 3:06am
Jun 6 2025 3:06am
How legitimate is Tarik Skubal? Let's examine the skills and underlying metrics for Zach Neto, Luis Castillo, Maikel Garcia, and Patrick Corbin.
Jun 5 2025 3:09am
Jun 5 2025 3:09am
