F/F SPOTLIGHT: Changepoint Edition—Judge, Zimmerman, Altherr, Dozier, McCutchen

Today's Facts & Flukes column takes a different approach from usual. We'll be taking a look at the historical skills profiles of five batters using changepoint analysis, which was introduced in a research column last year (follow the link for full introduction and details).

As a quick refresher, changepoint analysis looks for patterns in the mean and variability of both skills and playing time. This is a retrospective analysis of a player's entire career, with the goal of identifying clear points of change. Rather than using selective endpoints such as the last month or the last year, we can anchor our analysis of a player's skills to a time where their performance or playing time clearly changed. 

A guide to interpreting the...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

The fast early start by Elly De La Cruz has been driven by a sharp improvement in batted ball quality.
May 22 2026 3:10am
A new handful of ALers to put under the Facts/Flukes skills microscope...
May 21 2026 3:06am
What is behind Bo Bichette's disappointing start? Plus, Geraldo Perdomo, Sandy Alcantara, Casey Schmitt, and Michael McGreevy.
May 20 2026 3:05am
Bryan Woo started slow, but seems to be rounding into form. Plus Aaron Civale, Corey Seager, Dillon Dingler, and Miguel Vargas.
May 18 2026 3:04am
José Ramírez is running wild, but he's only hitting .215. Also, deeper looks at Nick Martinez, Luke Raley, Peter Lambert, and Ryan Jeffers.
May 14 2026 3:05am

Tools