FACTS/FLUKES: Y. Alvarez, Cease, Story, L. Severino, N. Lowe

Is Y. Alvarez just getting started?...Coming off of his first $30 season, 26-year old Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU) is being selected in the first round of most 2023 drafts. Was his 2022 breakout a fact or a fluke, and is growth or gravity-induced regression more likely in 2023? 

Year   PA  HR/xHR   BA/xBA  HctX  bb%  ct%  GB/LD/FB   PX/xPX  HR/F  xHR/F  FBv*
====  ===  ======  =======  ====  ===  ===  ========  =======  ====  =====  ====
2019  369   27/27  313/298   124   14   70  38/25/37  196/155   33%   33%   94.9
2021  598   33/41  277/272   118    8   73  38/23/39  151/153   21%   27%   96.9
2022  561   37/43  306/304   150   14   77  39/22/39  182/171   25%   29%   97.4
* average fly ball exit velocity

A fact, and all signs are...

Almost!

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