FACTS/FLUKES: Nola, Cain, Inciarte, Matz, Rosario

Nola becomes an ace … Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) gave us a glimpse of his capabilities when he posted a terrific 3.16 ERA, 10.5 Dom and 153 BPV in 103 IP in the second half of 2017, but many wondered if he could do that over the course of a full season. Through 199 IP, he owns a 2.44 ERA and is the only qualified MLB starting pitcher in 2018 to post a GB% of at least 50% and a Dom of 7.4 or better, so it’s clear he has risen to the challenge. What’s behind the great performance?

Year   IP   ERA  xERA  Ctl   Dom  Cmd  FpK  SwK  GB/LD/FB  H%/S%  hr/f  BPV
====  ===  ====  ====  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  ========  =====  ====  ===
2015* 187  3.10  3.58  1.8   7.2  4.1  64%   9%  48/20/32  30/77   15%  105
2016  111  4.78  3.25  2.4   9.8  4.2 ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Max Fried pitched like an ace in 2025 despite a second-half slide. Any reason for concern? Plus looks at Vinnie Pasquantino, Jo Adell, Jack Flaherty and Andrés Giménez.
Feb 19 2026 3:05am
After averaging 36 HR and a .286 BA per season from 2021-23, Austin Riley has battled injuries and hit 35 HR combined in 2024-25. Can he rebound? Plus Edward Cabrera, Eugenio Suárez, Aaron Nola, and Ramon Laureano.
Feb 18 2026 3:09am
What to expect with Bo Bichette joining the Mets. Also: Eury Pérez Michael Busch, Merrill Kelly, and Miguel Andujar.
Feb 17 2026 3:07am
Hunter Brown solidified his status as a frontline starter in 2025. Plus, Ryan Pepiot, Gleyber Torres, Kyle Manzardo, and Jonathan India.
Feb 12 2026 3:05am
Injuries may have temporarily cost Iván Herrera his catcher eligibility, but his work at the plate in 2025 was terrific—can he repeat his breakout season? Plus, Jakob Marsee, Cade Horton, Bryan Reynolds, and Hurston Waldrep.
Feb 11 2026 3:08am

Tools