SPECULATOR: The Robbie Ray question
Mar 16 2022
Who's this year's Robbie Ray?
It's a question that, frankly, has been played out on other podcasts or on Twitter during the lockout. But it's still an important one worth diving into… using our own speculative data-driven approach, of course.
On one hand, nobody could see Robbie Ray (LHP, SEA)'s 2021 breakout coming. Ray posted the league's worst walk rate in 2020 (18% BB%) with a brutal 6.62 ERA that was just as bad beneath the surface (6.14 xERA). Yours truly had Ray's box in the 2021 Baseball Forecaster just before his breakout season, concluding that "avoiding recency bias could yield modest profit." But I can't tell you I saw this coming with anything close to a straight face.
But were there signs of a breakout lingering further in...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
Slow starts, or is something wrong beneath the hood? We speculate...
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Our annual April exercise at those projected for the best skills, but haven't had the playing time to get there.
Apr 23 2025 3:09am
Apr 23 2025 3:09am
Most starters are 3-4 starts in... time to overreact with some (skills-based!) snap judgments.
Apr 16 2025 3:06am
Apr 16 2025 3:06am
Spencer Torkelson's turnaround is getting plenty of QBaB support.
Apr 9 2025 3:02am
Apr 9 2025 3:02am
Baseball is back and we're here to overreact. We'll speculate on several Opening Weekend storylines.
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
