SPECULATOR: Change Score risers, 2022
May 18 2022
A core tenet of player evaluation here at BaseballHQ is to ignore the surface-level stats and focus on skills instead. But at this early stage of the season, how do we know which changes in SKILLS might be more likely to stick around all year, and which ones are just variance after a handful of starts?
Tracking pitch-level data (usage, velocity, whiff rates) with Statcast is increasingly becoming a go-to in our quest to jump on breakout seasons, as someone showing a change in skill AND a change in approach has a better chance to stick all season.
The approach worked wonders for us last season—picking up on early breakouts from Sandy Alcantara, Trevor Rogers, Joe Musgrove, Freddy Peralta, and more—so this week, we'll revisit Change...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Speculator
Slow starts, or is something wrong beneath the hood? We speculate...
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Apr 30 2025 3:10am
Our annual April exercise at those projected for the best skills, but haven't had the playing time to get there.
Apr 23 2025 3:09am
Apr 23 2025 3:09am
Most starters are 3-4 starts in... time to overreact with some (skills-based!) snap judgments.
Apr 16 2025 3:06am
Apr 16 2025 3:06am
Spencer Torkelson's turnaround is getting plenty of QBaB support.
Apr 9 2025 3:02am
Apr 9 2025 3:02am
Baseball is back and we're here to overreact. We'll speculate on several Opening Weekend storylines.
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
