SPECULATOR: Avoiding this year's Nick Pivetta

The hype was real.

At this time last year, Nick Pivetta (RHP, PHI) was shooting up draft boards as a Top 150 pick despite a 4.77 ERA the previous season. Why? He was "everyone's favorite sleeper" thanks to some excellent underlying skills (3.53 xERA, 3.7 Cmd, 135 BPV). Pivetta and fellow helium-mate Shane Bieber (RHP, CLE) were in pretty rare company this time last year:

The answer to "??" in that tweet? A 3.28 ERA for Bieber, and a 5.38 for Pivetta.

In hindsight, it's laughable that...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

They didn't do much for us in the first half, but we're speculating on some big things the rest of the way.
Jun 24 2026 3:07am
The world-renowned (kind of) #BloomBoards make their way to the Speculator. Three of them to sift through!
Jun 17 2026 3:07am
They don't all hit the ground running. We apply the longstanding "10-step path to prospect stardom" to this year's player pool.
Jun 10 2026 3:06am
A tour through some in-season QBaB leaderboards, including YTD best/worst scores and risers over the last month.
Jun 3 2026 3:08am
After last week's in-season "UP"side column, it's time to strike a more pessimistic tune.
May 27 2026 3:07am

Tools