SPECULATOR: 2023's end-of-season first round

So much blood, sweat, and ink goes into dissecting every season's first round. We all see the same 15-20 names atop overall ranking lists for months, and it seems like a foregone conclusion that they'll finish near the top by season's end.

Truth is, we have very little clue how the end-of-season first round will turn out. And if history is any indication, it'll look drastically different than it does in March.

Ron Shandler’s research in the Baseball Forecaster tells us that on average, just one-third of the market's Top 15 players will return first-round value at the end of the year. Here’s the total breakdown of first-round earners—defined as the Top 15 overall players in standard 5x5 mixed leagues—grouped by their preseason Average...


You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

With 3-4 starts behind us, let's speculate on some early sub-indicator risers and fallers.
Apr 17 2024 3:03am
Adley Rutschman has a perfect "AAa" QBaB score early on.
Apr 10 2024 3:05am
Baseball is back, so let's play a little loose with some speculations from the weekend
Apr 3 2024 3:05am
Our annual Opening Day Eve exercise looks at possible HR, SB, BA, ERA, and K leaders outside the Top 200.
Mar 27 2024 3:10am
If history is any indication, they'll come from all stages of the draft.
Mar 20 2024 3:06am