Opening Day is almost here, so it’s time to guess what each MLB team will do. We know we're usually wrong, but we keep trying anyway. Why? Maybe it’s because it gives us small clues about where pitching wins might accumulate. It could reveal hidden sources of runs and RBIs that $5 or $10 players could benefit from. It might even give you hope for your own home team. Or not.
This exercise has wide error bars. It assumes that everything we know now will remain as a fixed reality for six months. It assumes no injuries beyond normal expectation, no role changes, and no trades. It assumes that struggling teams won’t address their deficiencies and that contending teams won’t run into a streak of bad luck. It assumes all our highly...
Almost!
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