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The 20 year-old Mejia pitched well for the Mets before his demotion, with a 3.25 ERA in relief, but his indicators were less impressive. He had a 4.51 xERA and only 1.1 Cmd, because of a high 4.9 Ctl rate. His Dom of 5.5 in the majors was below expectations, although he had an outstanding 66% groundball rate. At AA Binghamton, Mejia was better, with 8.1 Dom, 4.3 Ctl, 1.9 Cmd, and a 61% GB rate.
Is Mejia ready to succeed in the majors? Probably not yet. His high GB rate limits his downside risk, but he'll need to keep his dominance up and improve his control to reach his potential. At his young age, September could be a bumpy and inconsistent ride, but with his high GB/high Dom profile, he's worth tucking away in keeper leagues.
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Because home runs and stolen bases are two of the batting categories in fantasy baseball, players who contribute in those categories are always in demand. One way to look for hidden HR sources is to find those who already have power, but who struggle to make contact. An 80% contact rate (ct%) is the league average, while anything below 75% is troublesome. A player with a low contact rate is cheating himself out of the chance for more HR - after all, you have to put the bat on the ball if you want to hit one out.
To find hidden SB sources, look for players who are fast, but who don't get on base often enough to make it count. A player's on base percentage (OBP) includes his hits, walks, and times hit by pitch. The league average OBP is around .333, but the most well rounded speedsters have an OBP of at least .350.
Players with good power but a low ct%, or good speed but a low OBP, are just one skill away from making a significant impact in the HR or SB category.
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RESEARCH & ANALYSIS: Consistency as Skill - Fact or Fiction?
RESEARCH & ANALYSIS: A new look at the LIMA Plan
FANALYTICS: PQS and qERA - New frontiers in pitcher evaluation
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