Organization Reports


2019 Organization Report: Milwaukee Brewers

by Alec Dopp

Organization Grades

Hitting: B- ... Pitching: C- ... Top-end Talent: B- ... Depth: C ... Overall: C

Minor League Affiliates

Triple-A: San Antonio (Pacific Coast League)
Double-A: Biloxi (Southern League)
High-A: Carolina (Carolina League)
Low-A: Wisconsin (Midwest League)
Rookie: AZL Brewers (Arizona League)
Rookie: Rocky Mountain (Pioneer League)

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1. Keston Hiura (2B) ... 5-11, 185 ... R/R ... 22 ... 2017 (1) University of California-Irvin
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017UC Irvine (BigWe)199.442/.567/.69320811.328/9
2017Azl Brewers (Ariz)62.435/.500/.8399790.464/0
2017Wisconsin (Midw)105.333/.374/.4766770.290/2
2018Carolina (Caro)206.320/.382/.5296770.307/4
2018Biloxi (Sou)279.272/.339/.4167800.396/11
Comments: Pure-hitting 2B with tons of BA upside and solid overall skillset. Quick, strong wrists result in hard line-drive trajectories and gap power with potentially more to come. Aggressive but makes above-average contact. Compact, stocky frame; average runner at best; SB impact likely limited. Working on glove-work at 2B, which is his future home.

Development Path: The general consensus among evaluators seems to be that Hiura will get a big-league look at some point in 2019, but not likely until at least the second half. For now, he will return to the minors.

Fantasy Impact: Hiura possesses one of the best hit tools in the minors, and most of his value will be BA-driven. His penchant for hard contact and overall bat-to-ball skills should yield at least average HR totals as he taps into his power more. He will be a coveted 2B option in dynasty formats moving forward.

Upside Grade: 9C

2. Corey Ray (OF) ... 5-11, 185 ... L/L ... 24 ... 2016 (1) University of Louisville
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Louisville (ACC)268.310/.388/.54512850.8815/44
2016Wisconsin (Midw)12.083/.313/.08320670.750/1
2016Brevard County (FSL)231.247/.307/.3858770.375/9
2017Carolina (Caro)449.238/.311/.36710650.317/24
2018Biloxi (Sou)532.241/.325/.47910670.3427/37
Comments: Premium athlete whose tools finally culminated in breakout 2018 campaign in AA. Tapped into power with more fly balls and pull-side juice; will be HR threat. Exceptional runner who has tools for elite SB output at next level. Still sorting out contact issues which cap his upside. Patrols OF well, but poor arm means LF is where he lands.

Development Path: The Brewers kept Ray in AA throughout 2018 despite clamors for a cup of coffee, which means he'll likely start 2019 in the PCL. It's probably the best move for him long term, given his ct% woes in his first taste of the upper minors, so expect him to be recalled in September at the earliest.

Fantasy Impact: Ray's power/speed upside is exciting for fantasy owners. He'll have a chance to be at least a 25 HR/25 SB type of talent in a fair-market outcome, but his value will ultimately hinge on his BA output in standard 5x5 leagues.

Upside Grade: 9E

3. Brice Turang (SS) ... 6-1, 165 ... L/R ... 19 ... 2018 (1) HS (CA)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2018Helena (Pio)112.268/.385/.34816750.791/6
2018Azl Brewers (Ariz)47.319/.421/.36216871.500/8
Comments: First-round pick who had quality pro debut in rookie/short-season ball. Lanky, thin frame produces good bat speed and flat path through zone for line-drive contact. Knows strike zone well and power should come. Plus runner with good instincts on the basepaths for future SB impact. Plays quality SS now but ideal move could be 2B as he fills out.

Development Path: Turang's solid overall skillset should allow him to move through the system quicker than most prep bats. That said, he likely starts 2019 in extended spring training with a goal of reaching Low-A by the end of next year.

Fantasy Impact: Speed and plate discipline are two areas in which Turang excels, and conveniently, those go hand-in-hand in fantasy play. He'll have a chance to produce quality SB totals with BA/OBP skills. This may not be a pure slugger, but he projects to be a solid 2B/SS in fantasy play down the road.

Upside Grade: 9E

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4. Joe Gray (OF) ... 6-1, 195 ... R/R ... 19 ... 2018 (2) HS (MS)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2018Azl Brewers (Ariz)77.182/.347/.32519680.722/6
Comments: Lanky, athletic OF with loud tools but requires maturation before being a finished product. Has quick-twitch qualities and bat speed through the zone for future HR value. Contact has been an issue and will require fine-tuning. Runs very well underway and will steal some bases. Cannon arm and good range profile him best to RF long-term.

Development Path: Gray's pro debut wasn't spectacular, so the Brewers aren't in any rush to develop him quicker than they need to. Extended spring training with a trip to short-season ball later in 2019 appears to be the most likely scenario for him moving forward.

Fantasy Impact: The power/speed skillset here is enticing, especially for someone who isn't high on most owners' radars. Temper your expectations given that he has a lot of work to do with contact and minimizing strikeouts, but keep tabs on him moving forward.

Upside Grade: 9E

5. Tristen Lutz (OF) ... 6-3, 210 ... R/R ... 20 ... 2017 (1) HS (TX)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2017Helena (Pio)93.333/.432/.55911770.576/2
2017Azl Brewers (Ariz)68.279/.347/.5596690.193/1
2018Wisconsin (Midw)444.245/.321/.4219690.3313/9
Comments: Tall, strong OF who signed well above slot value in 2017 first round. Production was so-so in full season debut, but packs a punch in his swing and ball jumps off his bat for plus raw power. More "fast" than "quick" bat speed and ct% will require more consistency. Good athlete; could have sneaky SB ability and will play a solid but not plus CF.

Development Path: After posting 13 HR and a well-above-average OPS in his full-season debut, Lutz will likely head to the High-A Carolina League in 2019. Having just turned 20 years young, he's still a bit of a project, but could be up as soon as the end of 2020.

Fantasy Impact: Lutz's best opportunity for fantasy impact will be HR and RBI, as his power-packed swing projects to work well in the middle of the order down the road. Plate discipline and ct% will be a sticking point moving forward for him. If he does have SB value, it will be minimal.

Upside Grade: 8C

6. Lucas Erceg (3B) ... 6-3, 200 ... L/R ... 23 ... 2016 (2) University of California
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Helena (Pio)105.400/.452/.5527850.502/8
2016Wisconsin (Midw)167.281/.328/.4977770.327/1
2017Carolina (Caro)496.256/.307/.4177810.3715/2
2017Colorado Springs (PCL)10.400/.455/.6009901.000/0
2018Biloxi (Sou)463.248/.306/.3827820.4513/3
Comments: Tall, lanky 3B with plus raw power and some feel to hit from left side. Employs uppercut bat plane and is pull-oriented, but shows plus ct% ability with smooth swing. Former college closer with plus arm strength required for 3B; will have solid-average range for the hot corner. Still waiting for the tools to materialize into on-field production.

Development Path: The Brewers have bumped Erceg up one level each of the past two years and 2019 should be no different. Expect him to start next year in the PCL with the expectation of a September call-up once rosters expand.

Fantasy Impact: Erceg's raw power and plus contact ability gives him a solid offensive fantasy profile with which to work moving forward. His upside is limited without much speed, and he may not be highly valued given the ML talent pool at 3B, but he's worth keeping tabs on.

Upside Grade: 8C

7. Mauricio Dubon (SS) ... 6-0, 160 ... R/R ... 24 ... 2013 (26) HS (HO)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Salem (Caro)235.306/.387/.37912891.320/24
2016Portland (East)251.339/.371/.5384860.316/6
2017Biloxi (Sou)268.276/.338/.3519840.602/31
2017Colorado Springs (PCL)224.272/.320/.4206850.416/7
2018Colorado Springs (PCL)108.343/.348/.5742820.114/6
Comments: Versatile athlete who missed most of 2018 after tearing his ACL. Brings plus speed, potential SB impact and positional versatility to the table. Has feel to hit and demonstrates quality ct% skill; sprays the ball to all fields. Does not lift the ball consistently enough for HR impact but will drive gaps and leg out triples. High BA/SB type profile.

Development Path: Dubon will likely be battling for PT right out of spring camp and could have a consistent role in the lineup by midseason. With the dearth of SB in today's game, Dubon is worth stashing in dynasty formats now.

Fantasy Impact: Dubon has the ingredients for above-average returns in BA and SB once he gets his opportunity. The lack of HR makes the profile significantly less sexy, of course, but with his multi-position eligibility, take what you can get.

Upside Grade: 8C

8. Larry Ernesto (OF) ... 6-2, 175 ... B/R ... 18 ... 2018 FA (DR)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2018Azl Brewers (Ariz)20.350/.364/.4505700.170/0
2018DSL Brewers (DSL)203.236/.294/.3946670.215/9
Comments: Athletic, high-waisted Dominican OF with quality tools, but remains very raw. Employs smooth swing from both sides but will require work against quality off-speed stuff. Gap power at present and should have at least average power at maturity. Plus runner who should play above-average CF with refined routes; SB impact upon making his debut.

Development Path: Ernesto figures to start 2019 in extended spring training in Arizona. He just turned 18, and given how raw he is, expect the Brewers to bring him along slowly and deliberately.

Fantasy Impact: Ernesto's combination of tools and youth gives him a lot of upside moving forward, but also some risk. His best chance for impact will be SB, but there figures to be 15-20 HR here with high volume doubles at full maturity.

Upside Grade: 8C

9. Zack Brown (RHP) ... 6-1, 180 ... 24 ... 2016 (5) University of Kentucky
2016Kentucky (SEC)
2017Wisconsin (Midw)85.03.391.3203.
2017Carolina (Caro)
2018Azl Brewers (Ariz)
2018Biloxi (Sou)125.22.441.0402.
Comments: High-effort SP who led SL in ERA with quality Dom/Cmd marks. FB maxes out at 95 and will sit in low-90s with varied action. Shows feel for above-average CB and CU will also flash plus action and deception. Athletic 6-2 frame and is likely maxed out physically. Command has improved and keeps ball on the ground frequently. Competes on the mound.

Development Path: After a sterling campaign in AA, Brown will likely start 2019 in the PCL and look to further establish himself as a back-end rotation candidate by the end of next year. Developing more confidence in his CB and CU will help his cause.

Fantasy Impact: Brown has the ingredients of a future #4/5 starter. Each of his offerings are major league average, and his off-speed stuff could be above that. The nature of his delivery suggests he could be better suited for a late-inning role, but for now, this is a solid-but-not-overwhelming profile.

Upside Grade: 7B

10. Trey Supak (RHP) ... 6-5, 210 ... 22 ... 2014 (2) HS (TX)
2016Helena (Pio)
2017Wisconsin (Midw)41.01.760.7602.
2017Carolina (Caro)72.14.601.2903.
2018Carolina (Caro)51.01.761.0402.
2018Biloxi (Sou)86.22.911.1802.
Comments: Large, big-bodied RP who logged 137 IP and reached upper minors for the first time. FB can touch 95 mph but operates more around 89-91 mph with ease. Shows aptitude for spinning CB and working on show-me CU. Fills zone regularly and throws downhill from high slot. Frame and ease of delivery project a back-end starter with high floor.

Development Path: Supak likely starts 2019 in Double-A with a chance to be a September call-up. He still has some work to do with his change-up and overall command, so a more prominent big-league role should come in 2020.

Fantasy Impact: Supak's lack of a plus pitch will limit his overall upside, but there are ingredients for a solid-average back end SP here with average Dom ability. His large frame and ease of delivery portends a future innings eater at the next level.

Upside Grade: 8D

11. Payton Henry (C) ... 6-2, 215 ... R/R ... 21 ... 2016 (6) HS (UT)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2016Azl Brewers (Ariz)82.256/.333/.3417770.320/0
2017Helena (Pio)207.242/.344/.43513670.437/1
2018Wisconsin (Midw)337.234/.327/.38010630.3110/1
Comments: Offense-minded CA prospect who mashed 27 XBH but also posted 63% ct% in full-season debut. Flashes plus raw power but has ct% struggles against quality off-speed. Still refining footwork and blocking skills behind the plate but should have enough arm to stick there long-term.

Development Path: The Brewers will be patient with Henry as he develops his skillset behind the plate. Expect him to stay in the low minors through next season, with the goal of a major league debut around 2021.

Fantasy Impact: The bar has been set so incredibly low for fantasy impact at CA that Henry will have a chance to be a decent contributor if he sticks there. Without question, there is at least 20 HR potential here along with a .240-ish BA.

Upside Grade: 8E

12. Aaron Ashby (LHP) ... 6-1, 170 ... 20 ... 2018 (4) Crowder College
2018Crowder College (MCCAC)
2018Helena (Pio)
2018Wisconsin (Midw)
Comments: Lean, athletic, mid-sized SP who posted big-time Dom in pro debut. Uses funky delivery and timing for whiffs despite not overpowering stuff. FB sits 91-94 and complements with downer CB in low 70s. Blends in hard SL as pace changer and CU is fringe pitch. More control than command, but plus CB gives him legit out-pitch to work with.

Development Path: Ashby likely heads back to the Low-A Midwest League to start 2019. He has work to do with his command and filling out his lean frame, so expect the Brewers to be patient with his development moving forward.

Fantasy Impact: Ashby's combination of a plus curve and and above-average fastball will play at the next level. If he develops the CU enough, that could be from a #4/5 SP role. If not, the worst-case scenario could be a long-relief arm with a high volume of strikeouts.

Upside Grade: 8D

13. Caden Lemons (RHP) ... 6-6, 175 ... 20 ... 2017 (2) HS (AL)
2017Azl Brewers (Ariz)2.26.750.7500.03.40.200
2018Azl Brewers (Ariz)13.01.380.9203.
2018Helena (Pio)
Comments: Long, lean, athletic RH topped out at 97 mph as prep arm but operated in low-90s with an average SL in AZL. CU remains very raw, but is a good athlete got his size and should develop feel for it. Struggles to repeat mechanics and arm slot; may have command issues down the road. High-upside arm if things come together.

Development Path: Lemons will need to fill out physically and develop his secondaries more before he challenges for the upper minors. Expect him to stay in the Midwest League for most if not all of 2019.

Fantasy Impact: With past history for mid-90s velocity and a raw, projectable frame, Lemons has solid upside and could be a quality Dom source at maturity. A lot needs to come together for that to happen, but if it does, there are ingredients for a #3 SP in this profile.

Upside Grade: 9E

14. Troy Stokes Jr. (OF) ... 5-8, 182 ... R/R ... 23 ... 2014 (4) HS (MD)
YearTeam (LG)ABBA/OBP/Slgbb%ct% EyeHR/SB
2015Helena (Pio)226.270/.384/.40713780.665/26
2016Wisconsin (Midw)314.268/.358/.39510800.584/20
2017Carolina (Caro)364.250/.344/.44511790.6114/21
2017Biloxi (Sou)135.252/.333/.45211750.476/9
2018Biloxi (Sou)467.233/.343/.43012690.4419/19
Comments: Shorter, athletic OF who narrowly missed 20/20 season in AA. Swing packs a punch with loads of pull-side power and fly balls. Aggressive hitter who will swing over top of quality RH SL/CB, but will also take his walks in bunches. Plus runner who projects to bring SB value to table. Fringe arm limits him to LF/CF but can cover ground in the OF.

Development Path: Stokes is almost guaranteed to start 2019 in the PCL. This is just about close to a finished product, so expect him to challenge for PT in Milwaukee by mid-season next summer.

Fantasy Impact: Stokes figures to bring value mostly with SB, but he could surprise many with his HR potential. This could be a 20/20 bat with enough AB volume and also value in OBP leagues given his consistently above-average walk rates in the minors.

Upside Grade: 7B

15. Marcos Diplan (RHP) ... 6-0, 160 ... 22 ... 2016 FA (DR)
2016Wisconsin (Midw)70.01.801.1604.
2016Brevard County (FSL)43.14.981.5003.
2017Carolina (Caro)
2018Carolina (Caro)61.13.521.5705.
2018Biloxi (Sou)57.04.581.6505.
Comments: Smallish, strong-armed RH who had inconsistent AA debut. FB will touch 97 mph and sit around 94 with late life. Misses barrels regularly with plus vertical SL. CU flashes good fade but doesn't use enough in games. Lack of balance and high-effort delivery leads to BBs and hard contact up in zone. High upside, high risk arm.

Development Path: Diplan should start 2019 where he ended 2018: in AA. A cup of coffee as a September call-up could be on the horizon next season, but significant PT will probably come in 2020 given his control issues.

Fantasy Impact: Two plus pitches in his FB and SL and feel for a fading CU suggests Diplan will have quality Dom upside no matter what his eventual role is. The most likely scenario is in setup/late relief, but the upside of a solid mid-rotation starter is definitely there.

Upside Grade: 9E

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