STARTERS: Expected Ctl, Dom gainers 2020

Comparing strikeout and walk levels with command sub-indicators like swinging strike rate and ball percentage can be an effective way to forecast changes in a starting pitcher's command.

Our research on swinging strike rates (SwK%) showed that SwK% has a strong link with dominance rate (K/9). As such, we can use it to calculate a SP's expected Dom (xDom).

Here is an updated correlation table between SwK% and Dom based on data from 2017 to 2019:

Full text available to BaseballHQ full subscription subscribers only. Please Subscribe at https://www.baseballhq.com/subscribe


Click here to subscribe

  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.