RESEARCH: Welcome, Expected Wins

If you take a gander at a starting pitcher's player page, you'll see a new statistic tucked in next to xERA: Expected Wins (xW). This measures, for starting pitchers, the number of wins we would expect them to have given: 1) how well they have pitched, as reflected by ERA, and 2) how strong their team's offense is, as reflected in runs per game.

Full text available to BaseballHQ full subscription subscribers only


Click here to subscribe

  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.