RESEARCH: Fly ball carry by batter—Is it a skill?


We have in recent years used statcast batted ball data to calculate Deserved Homeruns, an estimate of the probability that a batted ball becomes a home run, using Statcast data for Launch Angle (LA) and Exit Velocity (EV).  We found that when park-adjusted, one year of dHR/FB data was just as predictive as two years of HR/FB data.

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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.