RESEARCH: Effect of Tommy John surgery on hitters

It’s been a few seasons since a hitter with major fantasy impact had Tommy John surgery. In 2018, there were three: Corey Seager, Didi Gregorius, and Shohei Ohtani. If all three were healthy, they’d easily be going in the single-digit rounds. There is a good chance Seager and Ohtani still will, but will they perform as the computer/projection suggests? After going back and analyzing historic values, hitters do see a power drop coming back from the operation, but nothing to keep owners away.

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