HEAD-TO-HEAD: Midseason QC scores for pitchers and hitters

While not technically the midpoint of the season, the All-Star Game is a good time to look back at individual performances from the first half of the season and to begin preparing for the end of the fantasy baseball season. Using the QC methodology designed by Dylan Hedges and Ron Shandler), we can examine the first half results for both hitters and starting pitchers to draw conclusions for the remainder of the season. This article will examine both the Unadjusted QC scores (QCU) and the Adjusted QC scores (QCA) for both groups of players.

Unadjusted and Adjusted QC scores defined

Before we begin, we need to define Unadjusted and Adjusted QC scores. Unadjusted QC Scores do not take in to consideration the maximum amount of possible playing time a player could have accrued during the first half of the season. These scores are purely the results for each player based upon the actual amount of time he played irrespective of the league maximums. Conversely, Adjusted QC Scores take in to consideration the maximum amount of playing time a player could have accrued during the first half of the season.

For starting pitchers, the maximum number of starts by an individual pitcher in the first half of the season was 20, and five pitchers crossed that threshold. To calculate the Adjusted QC scores for starting pitchers, each pitcherÕs actual number of starts was divided by the maximum possible number of starts, and that percentage was multiplied by the Unadjusted QC score. For hitters, the maximum number of weeks a hitter could play in the first half per the weekly consistency chart was 16, and 161 players crossed that threshold. To calculate the Adjusted QC scores for hitters, each hitterÕs actual number of weeks played was divided by the maximum number of weeks that could have been played, and that percentage was multiplied by the Unadjusted QC score.

Unadjusted QC scores for hitters

Using the methodology outlined above, here are the Unadjusted QC scores for hitters:

Name                Wks  DOM   NEUT  DIS  DOM%  NEUT%  DIS%  QCU  QCA
==================  ===  ===   ====  ===  ====  =====  ====  ===  ===
Ackley, Dustin       5    4    1     0     80%  20%     0%   160   50
Braun, Ryan         14   12    1     1     86%   7%     7%   144  126
Bautista, Jose      16   13    2     1	   81%  13%     6%   138  138
Kinsler, Ian        16   13    2     1	   81%  13%     6%   138  138
Holliday, Matt      14   11    2     1	   79%  14%     7%   130  114
Reyes, Jose         14   11    2     1	   79%  14%     7%   130  114
Teixeira, Mark      16   12    3     1	   75%  19%     6%   126  126
Granderson, Curtis  16   11    4     1	   69%  25%     6%   114  114
Pujols, Albert      15   10    4     1	   67%  27%     7%   106   99
Ellsbury, Jacoby    16   10    5     1     63%  31%     6%   102  102
Chisenhall, Lonnie   2    1    1     0     50%  50%     0%   100   13
Molina, Gustavo      2    1    1     0     50%  50%     0%   100   13
Navarro, Yamaico     2    1    1     0     50%  50%     0%   100   13
Beltre, Adrian      16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Gonzalez, Adrian    16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Kemp, Matt          16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Young, Chris        16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Cano, Robinson      16    9    6     1     56%  38%     6%    88   88
Lee, Carlos         16    9    6     1     56%  38%     6%    88   88
Cabrera, Miguel     16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Tulowitzki, Troy    16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Upton, Justin       16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Victorino, Shane    14   10    2     2     71%  14%    14%    86   75
Beltran, Carlos     16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Jones, Garrett      16   12    1     3     75%   6%    19%    74   74
McCutchen, Andrew   16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Sanchez, Gaby       16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Phillips, Brandon   16   11    2     3     69%  13%    19%    62   62
Youkilis, Kevin     16   11    2     3     69%  13%    19%    62   62
Crisp, Coco         16    9    5     2     56%  31%    13%    60   60

Unsurprisingly, this list is populated with excellent hitters. H2H owners looking to acquire hitters from this list should focus on those hitters whose current performances may not match previous expectations. In spite of relatively low batting averages, players such as Chris Young (OF, ARI), Ian Kinsler (2B, TEX) and Troy Tulowitzki (SS, COL) have been extremely consistent this season, and represent great trade targets for the second half.

Adjusted QC scores for hitters

As noted above, Adjusted QC scores were calculated by taking the actual weeks played, dividing that number by the maximum weeks available to play, and multiplying that number by the Unadjusted QC score. Here are the Adjusted QC scores for hitters:

Name                Wks  DOM   NEUT  DIS  DOM%  NEUT%  DIS%  QCU  QCA
==================  ===  ===   ====  ===  ====  =====  ====  ===  ===
Bautista, Jose      16   13    2     1     81%  13%     6%   138  138
Kinsler, Ian        16   13    2     1	   81%  13%     6%   138  138
Braun, Ryan         14   12    1     1	   86%   7%     7%   144  126
Teixeira, Mark      16   12    3     1	   75%  19%     6%   126  126
Granderson, Curtis  16   11    4     1     69%  25%     6%   114  114
Holliday, Matt      14   11    2     1     79%  14%     7%   130  114
Reyes, Jose         14   11    2     1     79%  14%     7%   130  114
Ellsbury, Jacoby    16   10    5     1     63%  31%     6%   102  102
Pujols, Albert      15   10    4     1     67%  27%     7%   106   99
Beltre, Adrian      16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Gonzalez, Adrian    16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Kemp, Matt          16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Young, Chris        16   12    2     2     75%  13%    13%    98   98
Cano, Robinson      16    9    6     1     56%  38%     6%    88   88
Lee, Carlos         16    9    6     1     56%  38%     6%    88   88
Cabrera, Miguel     16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Tulowitzki, Troy    16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Upton, Justin       16   11    3     2     69%  19%    13%    86   86
Victorino, Shane    14   10    2     2     71%  14%    14%    86   75
Beltran, Carlos     16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Jones, Garrett      16   12    1     3     75%   6%    19%    74   74
McCutchen, Andrew   16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Sanchez, Gaby       16   10    4     2     63%  25%    13%    74   74
Phillips, Brandon   16   11    2     3     69%  13%    19%    62   62
Youkilis, Kevin     16   11    2     3     69%  13%    19%    62   62
Crisp, Coco         16    9    5     2     56%  31%    13%    60   60
Cabrera, Asdrubal   15   10    2     3     67%  13%    20%    54   51
Jones, Chipper      15    8    5     2     53%  33%    13%    54   51
Rolen, Scott        14    8    4     2     57%  29%    14%    58   51
Ackley, Dustin       5    4    1     0     80%  20%     0%   160   50

At first glance, there is very little change from one chart to the other. Players such as Ryan Braun (OF, MIL), Matt Holliday (OF, STL) and Jose Reyes (SS, NYM) move down the list slightly as a result of missed time due to injuries. Note the quietly excellent season of Gaby Sanchez (1B, FLA), and the ability of Dustin Ackley (2B, SEA) to adapt to big league pitching quickly. Sanchez is playing like an All-Star first baseman; and in spite of only playing in one-third of the available time, Ackley still rates as one of the most consistent hitters in the majors during the first half of the season. Both of these players make excellent trade targets, and both should cost much less to acquire than many of the other players on this list.

Unadjusted QC scores for starting pitchers

Using the methodology outlined above, here are the Unadjusted QC scores for starting pitchers:

Pitcher             GS   DOM   NEUT  DIS  DOM%  NEUT%  DIS%  QCU  QCA
==================  ==   ===   ====  ===  ====  =====  ====  ===  ===
Lincoln, Brad        1    1    0     0    100%   0%     0%   200   10
Luebke, Cory         3    3    0     0    100%   0%     0%   200   30
Willis, Dontrelle    1    1    0     0    100%   0%     0%   200   10
Verlander, Justin   20   18    2     0     90%  10%     0%   180  180
Halladay, Roy       19   17    2     0     89%  11%     0%   178  170
Weaver, Jered       19   17    2     0     89%  11%     0%   178  170
Sabathia, CC        20   16    4     0     80%  20%     0%   160  160
Pineda, Michael     18   14    4     0     78%  22%     0%   155  140
Estrada, Marco       4    3    1     0     75%  25%     0%   150   30
Hernandez, Felix    20   15    5     0     75%  25%     0%   150  150
Zimmermann, Jordan  18   13    5     0     72%  28%     0%   144  130
Cain, Matt          19   15    3     1     79%  16%     5%   136  130
Haren, Dan          19   15    3     1     79%  16%     5%   136  130
Kershaw, Clayton    19   15    3     1     79%  16%     5%   136  130
Braden, Dallas       3    2    1     0     67%  33%     0%   133   20
Johnson, Josh        9    6    3     0     67%  33%     0%   133   60
McCarthy, Brandon   11    7    4     0     64%  36%     0%   127   70
Hamels, Cole        19   16    1     2     84%   5%    11%   126  120
Fister, Doug        18   11    7     0     61%  39%     0%   122  110
Ogando, Alexi       17   14    1     2     82%   6%    12%   117  100
Cueto, Johnny       12    7    5     0     58%  42%     0%   116   70
Hudson, Daniel      19   13    5     1     68%  26%     5%   115  110
Paulino, Felipe      7    4    3     0     57%  43%     0%   114   40
Norris, Bud         18   12    5     1     67%  28%     6%   111  100
Beckett, Josh       17   11    5     1     65%  29%     6%   105   90
Hanson, Tommy       17   13    2     2     76%  12%    12%   105   90
Lee, Cliff          19   14    3     2     74%  16%    11%   105  100
Lincecum, Tim       19   14    3     2     74%  16%    11%   105  100
Beachy, Brandon     12    8    3     1     67%  25%     8%   100   60
Beavan, Blake        2    1    1     0     50%  50%     0%   100   10

As with the hitters list, the starting pitcher list is populated with All-Star caliber players. In spite of small sample sizes some notable performers stand out on this list, including: Brandon Beachy (RHP, ATL), Cory Luebke (LHP, SD), and Felipe Paulino (RHP, KC). There still may be time to make trades for these players before the playoffs begin.

Adjusted QC scores for starting pitchers

As noted above, Adjusted QC scores were calculated by taking the actual starts made, dividing that number by the maximum available starts, and multiplying that number by the Unadjusted QC score. Here are the Adjusted QC scores for starting pitchers:

Pitcher             GS   DOM   NEUT  DIS  DOM%  NEUT%  DIS%  QCU  QCA
==================  ==   ===   ====  ===  ====  =====  ====  ===  ===
Verlander, Justin   20   18    2     0    90%   10%     0%   180  180
Halladay, Roy       19   17    2     0    89%   11%     0%   178  170
Weaver, Jered       19   17    2     0    89%   11%     0%   178  170
Sabathia, CC        20   16    4     0    80%   20%     0%   160  160
Hernandez, Felix    20   15    5     0    75%   25%     0%   150  150
Pineda, Michael     18   14    4     0    78%   22%     0%   155  140
Cain, Matt          19   15    3     1    79%   16%     5%   136  130
Haren, Dan          19   15    3     1    79%   16%	5%   136  130
Kershaw, Clayton    19   15    3     1    79%   16%	5%   136  130
Zimmermann, Jordan  18   13    5     0    72%   28%	0%   144  130
Hamels, Cole        19   16    1     2    84%    5%    11%   126  120
Fister, Doug        18   11    7     0    61%   39%     0%   122  110
Hudson, Daniel      19   13    5     1    68%   26%     5%   115  110
Lee, Cliff          19   14    3     2    74%   16%    11%   105  100
Lincecum, Tim       19   14    3     2    74%   16%    11%   105  100
Norris, Bud         18   12    5     1    67%   28%     6%   111  100
Ogando, Alexi       17   14    1     2    82%    6%    12%   117  100
Beckett, Josh       17   11    5     1    65%   29%     6%   105   90
Carpenter, Chris    19   13    4     2    68%   21%    11%    94   90
Hanson, Tommy       17   13    2     2    76%   12%    12%   105   90
Lohse, Kyle         18    9    9     0    50%   50%     0%   100   90
Shields, James      19   13    4     2    68%   21%    11%    94   90
Tomlin, Josh        18    9    9     0    50%   50%     0%   100   90
Chacin, Jhoulys     18   12    4     2    67%   22%    11%    88   80
Gonzalez, Gio       18   10    7     1    56%   39%     6%    88   80
Jurrjens, Jair      16   10    5     1    63%   31%     6%   100   80
Kennedy, Ian        19   10    8     1    53%   42%     5%    84   80
Latos, Mat          17   10    6     1    59%   35%     6%    94   80
Masterson, Justin   18   10    7     1    56%   39%     6%    88   80
Nolasco, Ricky      19   12    5     2    63%   26%    11%    84   80

Beyond the well-known names on this list, there are some inexpensive trade targets here. In spite of the struggles of their respective teams, Doug Fister (RHP, SEA), Mat Latos (RHP, SD), Ricky Nolasco (RHP, FLA), and Jordan Zimmermann (RHP, WAS) have performed at a consistently high level throughout the first half of the season, and may not cost as much to acquire as their more famous peers.

Conclusion

The usual disclaimer that no player evaluation method is foolproof applies to QC scores. However, these scores represent another tool that H2H players can use to strengthen rosters via trades or waiver wire acquisitions through the next few months. As the season heads towards its finale, good luck to everyone.


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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.