FANALYTICS: A critical analysis of the first-round/$30 player pool, a redux

The facts are the facts: our success rate for projecting which 15 players will earn the most roto-value in any given season is about 35%. That's terrible.

Lately, I've been hearing a growing din of apathy. So what? Who cares? Nobody expects players to finish exactly where we pick them anyway. Still, Internet discussion became contentious when I chose Jose Abreu over Paul Goldschmidt as the 3rd overall pick at the FSTA Experts draft, and when Todd Zola selected Anthony Rizzo at #7. Does it matter?

Full text available to BaseballHQ full subscription subscribers only

Click here to subscribe

  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.