FANALYTICS: 7th Annual Longshot Caucus

Nobody expected A.J. Pierzynski to hit 27 HRs in 2012. That's because everyone came into last season with a set of preconceptions about what the former White Sox catcher was capable of doing. Last year at this time, you would have been hard-pressed to find a source that projected him for even 10 HRs, let alone 170% more.

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