BATTERS: 2022 LIMA targets

The Low Investment Mound Aces (LIMA) Plan is a way for you to target consistent, affordable hitters who offer both solid plate discipline and the potential to help you in multiple categories.
Our latest iteration of the LIMA model suggests that we should target hitters who are projected to meet some of the following thresholds:
- CT% + BB% of 90% or greater
- PX or Spd level of 100 or greater
- Regular playing time
- Projected R$ between $10 and $30
LIMA values can vary based on your league context. We encourage you to use our Custom Draft Guides to see customized LIMA targets for your league.
Here are the top 2022 projected LIMA hitting targets in a 15-team 5x5 mixed league:
-----------Projected 2022----------
Name League Position bb% ct% Eye PX Spd BPV LIMA
=================== ====== ======== === === ==== === === === ====
Franco, Wander AL SS 8% 87% 0.62 98 131 82 A
Hernández, Enrique AL CF/2B 10% 79% 0.51 108 113 57 A
Votto, Joey NL 1B 15% 75% 0.70 129 74 56 A
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hoskins, Rhys NL 1B 14% 73% 0.62 183 79 93 B+
Springer, George AL CF/DH 12% 76% 0.55 144 105 76 B+
Bregman, Alex AL 3B 13% 86% 1.00 97 87 73 B+
Marte, Ketel NL CF/2B 7% 84% 0.50 111 96 72 B+
Arenado, Nolan NL 3B 8% 84% 0.58 110 92 71 B+
Acuña, Ronald NL RF 13% 70% 0.48 165 104 69 B+
Reynolds, Bryan NL CF 12% 77% 0.56 119 126 65 B+
Olson, Matt AL 1B 13% 76% 0.60 136 77 63 B+
Semien, Marcus AL 2B/SS 10% 79% 0.54 114 109 62 B+
Alvarez, Yordan AL DH/LF 10% 72% 0.38 158 83 61 B+
Altuve, Jose AL 2B 9% 84% 0.59 92 106 60 B+
Cronenworth, Jake NL 2B/SS/1B 9% 82% 0.58 93 116 59 B+
Alonso, Pete NL 1B 11% 74% 0.49 143 78 58 B+
Lindor, Francisco NL SS 10% 81% 0.58 102 99 56 B+
Kepler, Max AL RF 11% 79% 0.58 110 91 54 B+
Mullins II, Cedric AL CF 8% 79% 0.40 101 135 54 B+
Turner, Justin AL 3B 10% 82% 0.60 95 94 53 B+
Bogaerts, Xander AL SS 10% 79% 0.55 108 92 53 B+
Polanco, Jorge AL 2B/SS 7% 81% 0.40 110 85 53 B+
Lowe, Brandon AL 2B 11% 68% 0.37 159 97 52 B+
Rizzo, Anthony AL 1B 10% 83% 0.67 94 71 51 B+
Dalbec, Bobby AL 1B 7% 63% 0.19 189 100 48 B+
Cron, C.J. NL 1B 8% 74% 0.36 138 68 47 B+
Fletcher, David AL 2B/SS 6% 90% 0.61 47 120 46 B+
Escobar, Eduardo NL 3B/2B 8% 78% 0.38 107 89 43 B+
Frazier, Adam AL 2B 6% 87% 0.51 60 110 42 B+
Urías, Luis NL SS/3B/2B 10% 76% 0.47 103 110 41 B+
Hayes, KeBryan NL 3B 9% 77% 0.41 101 106 40 B+
Candelario, Jeimer AL 3B 10% 74% 0.45 113 94 39 B+
Soler, Jorge NL RF/DH 11% 69% 0.41 142 68 36 B+
Santander, Anthony AL RF/DH 5% 78% 0.24 114 68 36 B+
Hays, Austin AL LF 5% 78% 0.25 96 115 35 B+
Schwindel, Frank NL 1B 5% 81% 0.25 91 93 35 B+
Lopez, Nicky AL SS 8% 84% 0.58 45 132 31 B+
Chapman, Matt AL 3B 11% 65% 0.34 143 114 30 B+
Bader, Harrison NL CF 9% 72% 0.34 110 104 29 B+
Mancini, Trey AL 1B/DH 8% 75% 0.34 106 92 29 B+
Carlson, Dylan NL RF 9% 72% 0.34 110 104 25 B+
Let's take a closer look at a bunch of intriguing LIMA targets who could deliver significant profit in 2022.
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Luis Arraez (3B/2B/LF, MIN) had a 98% ct% + bb% and 136 Spd in 2021, plate skills and speed that make him an intriguing LIMA batter to target on draft day. While he doesn't barrel the ball at all (2.3% Brl%), tuck away this annual exit velocity trend as a reason to speculate on something more: 87.1 mph, 87.5 mph, 88.4 mph. At age 25, he hasn't reached his ceiling yet.
Wander Franco (SS, TAM) won't be cheap in most 2022 drafts given his top-prospect pedigree. Check out his monthly BPV during his rookie season: 39, 40, 88, 147. His plate skills matured in the second half (7% bb%, 88% ct%, 0.66 Eye), which gives him immediate .320 BA upside.
Ty France (1B/DH/2B, SEA) makes for a sneaky LIMA play heading into 2022. His contact ticked up four points in the second half of 2021 (83% ct%). He also hit lefties with authority (.874 OPS vL) for the first time in his career. And he'll qualify at several different positions in most leagues.
Austin Hays (LF, BAL) had one of the most impressive September performances in the game during 2021 (.933 OPS, 98 BPV in 106 AB). His underlying skills featured an 85% ct% + bb%, solid power (112 xPX), and untapped speed (113 Spd). In addition, after topping nothing better than a 5.5% Brl% during his first three MLB seasons, he had a 9.1% Brl% in 2021. Hays is a solid target for those looking for unheralded age-26 breakout speculations.
Sean Murphy (C, OAK) took a step backwards in 2021 (.710 OPS in 393 AB). His top-shelf walk rate (17% bb% in 2020) also regressed to a 9% bb% last season. On the plus side, his power foundation took another step forward. Check out his xPX over his three years in the majors: 99, 109, 115 xPX. And he maintained a double-digit barrel rate (11.3% Brl%), a mark that puts him in the 75th percentile among MLB batters. There's good profit potential here now.
Andrew Vaughn (LF, CHW) might not have produced at a top clip during his rookie season (.235 BA, .705 OPS in 417 AB), but his Statcast skills give his bat tons of more upside: 91.1 mph exit velocity, 10.9% Brl%. Few hitters can hit the ball harder than Vaughn (94th percentile max exit velo), and his ct% + bb% jumped from a so-so 79% mark in the first half to an excellent 90% in the second half. Profit plays don't get much better than this one.
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Dylan Carlson (RF, STL) is another high-upside bat that has the potential to help you in multiple categories. His plate skills were solid in the first half of 2021 (83% ct% + bb%), but the thump wasn't there (88 PX, 83 xPX). His approach eroded in the second half (79% ct% + bb%) but his power blossomed (133 PX, 127 xPX). And his legs have more upside than they showed (110 Spd, 74th percentile Statcast sprint speed). Expect his growth to continue in 2022.
Jake Croneworth (2B/SS/1B, SD) is a multi-skilled batter that is a good fit for those looking for LIMA batters. His skills spiked to an 80 BPV in the second half of 2021. He had a 93% ct% + bb% and 128 Spd, along with an 86th percentile sprint speed. Those nuggets give him .300-BA, 20-SB potential.
Nick Madrigal (2B, CHC) owns plate skills that are some of the best you'll find (97% ct% + bb%). His raw speed is impressive, too (164 Spd, 75th percentile sprint speed). This is another batter that could give you a lot of help in batting average and stolen bases.
Brandon Nimmo (CF, NYM) makes for an interesting study. He has reached 400+ AB only once in his career, but he has really good plate discipline (90% ct% + bb%) and has shown a 130+ Spd in three of the past four seasons. His Statcast sprint speed ranked in the 92nd percentile in 2021. He's another bat with more room for growth than you might realize.
Will Smith (C, LA) enters 2022 with true breakout potential. His skills in 2021 were excellent and included good contact and walk rates (88% ct% + bb%) and continued elite power (140 xPX). And his power soared late (163 xPX in 2H). He should be one of the first catchers off your draft board.
LaMonte Wade (RF/1B, SF) made some subtle gains late in 2021 that might be flying under the radar in your league. His power went from average in the first half (99 xPX) to elite after that (158 xPX). For the season, his exit velocity (90.1 mph) and barrel rate (10.6% Brl%) were by far the best of his career. Watch him in the spring to see if he has made any improvements against LHers (.389 OPS vL), which would give him the path to the 500+ AB needed for him to have a full-season breakout.
Jesse Winker (LF, CIN) took a step forward in 2021 (.305 BA, 24 HR, 71 RBI, .949 OPS in 423 AB), and it's about to get even bigger in 2022. His approach at the plate was pristine (93% ct% + bb%), and his Statcast metrics were very strong (74th percentile exit velocity + barrel rate). If he can finally stay healthy for a full season, there could be a $30 season coming here.
For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.
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