Forecaster's Toolbox Preview
The Forecasters Toolbox, from the Baseball Forecaster, is the ultimate compendium of rules, concepts and insight that drive HQ's performance projections.
Selected Table of Contents
GENERAL FORECASTING CONCEPTS
- 5 steps to accurate performance forecasting
- Raw skills versus statistical output
- The concept of Component Skills Analysis
- Skills ownership
- The Baker's Dozen analytical criteria
BATTING TOOLBOX
- Contact rate as a leading indicator
- Batting eye and power
- Categories of power breakouts
- Optimal ages
- Handedness notes
- League-switching
- September performance declines
- Park elevation effects
PITCHING TOOLBOX
- Fundamental skills and base performance indicators
- Command ratio as a leading indicator
- Good command versus bad command
- Strand rates as a leading indicator
- Projecting wins
- Optimal ages
- Usage warning flags
- Projecting breakout performances
- Career-year drop-offs
- League-switching
- Origin of closers
- Rule of TOG
- Handedness notes
- Catchers' effect on pitching
MINOR LEAGUE TOOLBOX
- Minor league information management
- Minor league level versus age
- Call-up success rate
- Projecting second year success
- Older prospects
