BATTING: Revisiting 2011 overperformers

Back before the season started, the BBG looked at batters who seemed to have had “lucky” HR and BA performance in 2011 that made them gambles for 2012.

In every case but one, we advised caution in bidding or drafting these players to full 2011 value.

In this edition we’ll look back to see if that advice turned out to be sound, and comment on the whole idea of recency bias in player valuation.

Review: Methods

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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.